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Predictions › United Kingdom › Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United
League OneSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United prediction

Home Park

Plymouth ArgyleHome
1.71 : 0.99
expected goals
Peterborough UnitedAway
54%Plymouth
25%Draw
21%Peterborough
Eagle safe pickPlymouth Argyle or Draw
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Plymouth Argyle or Draw at 2/7.

Prediction
Plymouth Argyle to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Plymouth Argyle 1.7, Peterborough United 1.0
Best bet
Plymouth Argyle or Draw at 2/7
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Plymouth Argyle or Draw
79% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Plymouth Argyle 54%, the draw 25% and Peterborough United 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Plymouth Argyle took 7 points from their last 5 games and Peterborough United took 1 from 5. Plymouth Argyle come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Plymouth Argyle won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Peterborough United won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Plymouth Argyle score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Peterborough United score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Plymouth Argyle games and 10 of Peterborough United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Plymouth Argyle won 1 and Peterborough United won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Peterborough United 0, Plymouth Argyle 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Plymouth Argyle or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Plymouthrecent form+3%
  • Peterboroughrecent form-6%
Plymouth form W W D W LPeterborough form L L L D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United: Plymouth Argyle are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Plymouth Argyle host Peterborough United in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Home Park. Our prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Plymouth Argyle or Draw at 2/7.

Plymouth Argyle form

Plymouth Argyle have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Peterborough United form

Peterborough United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Plymouth Argyle won 1, Peterborough United won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Peterborough United 0, Plymouth Argyle 1.

Our call

We expect Plymouth Argyle to score about 1.7 goals and Peterborough United about 1.0. That points to Plymouth Argyle to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Plymouth Argyle or Draw at 2/7. Our bold bet is Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PlymouthPeterborough
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws36
Losses610
Goals scored3521
Goals conceded2737
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record6W 1D 4L1W 4D 5L
Away record5W 2D 2L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1/3
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens
Over 3.5 goals29%5/2
Both teams to score52%10/11
Plymouth Argyle or Draw79%1/4
Peterborough United or Draw46%6/5
Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Peterborough United to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Plymouth Argyle clean sheet37%13/8
Peterborough United clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-010.8%
2-09.9%
2-19.7%
0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United?

Our prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Plymouth Argyle or Draw at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Plymouth Argyle to score 1.7 goals and Peterborough United 1.0.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Plymouth Argyle last 20 games and 10 of Peterborough United last 20.

How are Plymouth Argyle playing?

Plymouth Argyle have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Peterborough United playing?

Peterborough United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Plymouth Argyle and Peterborough United last met?

It ended Peterborough United 0, Plymouth Argyle 1. In the last 2 meetings Plymouth Argyle won 1 and Peterborough United won 1.

What is the best bet for Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United?

Plymouth Argyle or Draw at 2/7, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Plymouth against Peterborough. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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