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Predictions › United States › Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC
MLSSat 24 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC prediction

Providence Park

Portland TimbersHome
1.82 : 1.84
expected goals
Charlotte FCAway
38%Portland
23%Draw
39%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
-266

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC is Charlotte FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -266.

Prediction
Charlotte FC to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Portland Timbers 1.8, Charlotte FC 1.8
Best bet
Both teams to score at -266
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
73% chanceFair price -2661 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Portland Timbers 38%, the draw 23% and Charlotte FC 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Portland Timbers took 1 point from their last 5 games and Charlotte FC took 7 from 5. Charlotte FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Portland Timbers won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte FC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Portland Timbers score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.9. Charlotte FC score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Portland Timbers games and 13 of Charlotte FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Portlandrecent form-4%
  • Charlotterecent form+1%
  • Portlandrest between games-5%
  • Charlotterest between games-5%
Portland form D D L L LCharlotte form D W L W DHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portland Timbers host Charlotte FC in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 22:30 at Providence Park. Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC is Charlotte FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -266.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Portland Timbers to score about 1.8 goals and Charlotte FC about 1.8. That points to Charlotte FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at -266. Our bold bet is Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.5 at +255.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PortlandCharlotte
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws55
Losses96
Goals scored3835
Goals conceded3729
Scored per game1.91.8
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record5W 2D 3L5W 3D 2L
Away record1W 3D 6L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets5%20%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%-769
Over 2.5 goals71%-242
Over 3.5 goals50%+101
Both teams to score71%-244
Portland Timbers or Draw61%-157
Charlotte FC or Draw62%-161
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.530%+235
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.530%+230
Portland Timbers clean sheet16%+527
Charlotte FC clean sheet16%+518

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.1%
1-27.9%
2-17.9%
2-27.2%
1-34.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC?

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC is Charlotte FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -266.

What is the score prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Portland Timbers to score 1.8 goals and Charlotte FC 1.8.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Portland Timbers last 20 games and 13 of Charlotte FC last 20.

How are Portland Timbers playing?

Portland Timbers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score at -266, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Portland against Charlotte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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