Predictions › United States › Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids

MLSSat 17 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids prediction

Providence Park

Portland TimbersHome

2.11 : 1.23

expected goals

Colorado RapidsAway

57%Portland

22%Draw

21%Colorado

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-476

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids is Portland Timbers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -476.

Prediction: Portland Timbers to win
Chance: 57%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Portland Timbers 2.1, Colorado Rapids 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -476
Both teams to score: 63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price -4762 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.5

39% chanceFair price +1551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Portland Timbers 57%, the draw 22% and Colorado Rapids 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Portland Timbers took 4 points from their last 5 games and Colorado Rapids took 5 from 5. Colorado Rapids come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Portland Timbers won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Colorado Rapids won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Portland Timbers score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. Colorado Rapids score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Portland Timbers games and 8 of Colorado Rapids games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Portland Timbers won 0 and Colorado Rapids won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Colorado Rapids 2, Portland Timbers 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Portlandrecent form-3%
Coloradorecent form-1%

Portland form L L L D WColorado form L D L W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids: Portland Timbers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portland Timbers host Colorado Rapids in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 22:30 at Providence Park. Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids is Portland Timbers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -476.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Portland Timbers won 0, Colorado Rapids won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Colorado Rapids 2, Portland Timbers 0.

Our call

We expect Portland Timbers to score about 2.1 goals and Colorado Rapids about 1.2. That points to Portland Timbers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -476. Our bold bet is Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.5 at +155.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Portland	Colorado
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	7
Draws	4	3
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	37	19
Goals conceded	35	26
Scored per game	1.9	0.9
Conceded per game	1.8	1.3
Home record	5W 2D 3L	6W 1D 3L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	5%	40%
Both teams scored	75%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	85%	-575
Over 2.5 goals	65%	-185
Over 3.5 goals	43%	+133
Both teams to score	63%	-169
Portland Timbers or Draw	79%	-370
Colorado Rapids or Draw	43%	+132
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.5	42%	+137
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5	15%	+578
Portland Timbers clean sheet	29%	+243
Colorado Rapids clean sheet	12%	+723

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%

2-19.7%

2-07.9%

1-06.9%

3-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids is Portland Timbers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -476.

What is the score prediction for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Portland Timbers to score 2.1 goals and Colorado Rapids 1.2.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Portland Timbers last 20 games and 7 of Colorado Rapids last 20.

How are Portland Timbers playing?

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

What happened when Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids last met?

It ended Colorado Rapids 2, Portland Timbers 0. In the last 1 meeting Portland Timbers won 0 and Colorado Rapids won 1.

What is the best bet for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

Over 1.5 goals at -476, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Portland against Colorado. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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