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Predictions › United States › Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC
MLSSun 1 Nov, 21:45 United States time

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction

Providence Park

Portland TimbersHome
1.64 : 1.60
expected goals
Houston Dynamo FCAway
39%Portland
24%Draw
37%Houston
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-510

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC is Portland Timbers to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510.

Prediction
Portland Timbers to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Portland Timbers 1.6, Houston Dynamo FC 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -510
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price +2791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Portland Timbers 39%, the draw 24% and Houston Dynamo FC 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Portland Timbers took 2 points from their last 5 games and Houston Dynamo FC took 4 from 5. Houston Dynamo FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Portland Timbers won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Houston Dynamo FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Portland Timbers score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. Houston Dynamo FC score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Portland Timbers games and 9 of Houston Dynamo FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Portland Timbers won 0 and Houston Dynamo FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Houston Dynamo FC 3, Portland Timbers 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Portlandrecent form-4%
  • Houstonrecent form-1%
Portland form D L D L LHouston form D D D L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC: Portland Timbers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portland Timbers host Houston Dynamo FC in the MLS on Sun 1 Nov, 21:45 at Providence Park. Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC is Portland Timbers to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Houston Dynamo FC form

Houston Dynamo FC have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Portland Timbers won 0, Houston Dynamo FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Houston Dynamo FC 3, Portland Timbers 2.

Our call

We expect Portland Timbers to score about 1.6 goals and Houston Dynamo FC about 1.6. That points to Portland Timbers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510. Our bold bet is Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.5 at +279.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PortlandHouston
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws68
Losses84
Goals scored3828
Goals conceded3521
Scored per game1.91.4
Conceded per game1.81.1
Home record5W 3D 3L4W 4D 1L
Away record1W 3D 5L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets10%40%
Both teams scored75%45%
Over 2.5 goals75%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%-526
Over 2.5 goals63%-169
Over 3.5 goals41%+146
Both teams to score65%-185
Portland Timbers or Draw63%-171
Houston Dynamo FC or Draw61%-159
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.528%+263
Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.526%+281
Portland Timbers clean sheet20%+395
Houston Dynamo FC clean sheet19%+416

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-18.4%
1-28.2%
2-26.7%
1-05.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC is Portland Timbers to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510.

What is the score prediction for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Portland Timbers to score 1.6 goals and Houston Dynamo FC 1.6.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Portland Timbers last 20 games and 9 of Houston Dynamo FC last 20.

How are Portland Timbers playing?

Portland Timbers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Houston Dynamo FC playing?

Houston Dynamo FC have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo FC last met?

It ended Houston Dynamo FC 3, Portland Timbers 2. In the last 2 meetings Portland Timbers won 0 and Houston Dynamo FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -510, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Portland against Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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