Predictions › United States › Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets
NBAMon 2 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

Portland Trail BlazersAway
113.8 : 119.6
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
31%Trail Blazers
69%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickNuggets +2.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 69% chance. We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.8 and Denver Nuggets 119.6. Our best bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -312.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Portland Trail Blazers 114, Denver Nuggets 120
Projected total
233.4 points
Best bet
Nuggets +2.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets +2.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Trail Blazers to win
30% chanceFair price +2321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 69% and Portland Trail Blazers 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5 and Portland Trail Blazers won 4 of their last 5. Portland Trail Blazers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Portland Trail Blazers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 117.6 points a game and let in 114.4. Portland Trail Blazers score 112.8 and let in 105.9. Their recent games average 232.0 and 218.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 3 and Portland Trail Blazers won 1. The last one ended Denver Nuggets 137, Portland Trail Blazers 132.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets +2.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-5%
  • Trail Blazersrest between games-2%
  • Nuggetsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets are favourites

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Portland Trail Blazers in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 69% chance. We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.8 and Denver Nuggets 119.6. Our best bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -312.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2352 points scored and 2288 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Portland Trail Blazers form

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2257 points scored and 2118 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 3, Portland Trail Blazers won 1. Last time out it finished Denver Nuggets 137, Portland Trail Blazers 132.

Our call

We expect Portland Trail Blazers to score about 113.8 points and Denver Nuggets about 119.6. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Trail Blazers to win at +232.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsTrail Blazers
Games played2020
Wins1312
Losses78
Points scored23522257
Points conceded22882118
Scored per game117.6112.8
Conceded per game114.4105.9
Home record9W 2L8W 3L
Away record4W 5L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -11.533%+207
Nuggets -8.542%+140
Nuggets -5.551%-105
Nuggets -2.561%-154
Nuggets +0.569%-227
Total pointsOverUnder
227.563%37%
230.556%44%
233.550%50%
236.543%57%
239.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 69% chance. We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.8 and Denver Nuggets 119.6. Our best bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.8 and Denver Nuggets 119.6, about 233.4 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2352 points scored and 2288 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Portland Trail Blazers playing?

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2257 points scored and 2118 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Portland Trail Blazers last met?

It ended Denver Nuggets 137, Portland Trail Blazers 132. In the last 4 meetings Denver Nuggets won 3 and Portland Trail Blazers won 1.

What is the best bet for Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets?

Nuggets +2.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Trail Blazers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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