EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United Kingdom › Portsmouth vs Sheffield United
ChampionshipWed 14 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Portsmouth vs Sheffield United prediction

Fratton Park

PortsmouthHome
1.16 : 1.23
expected goals
Sheffield UnitedAway
34%Portsmouth
29%Draw
37%Sheffield Utd
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Sheffield United to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Portsmouth 1.2, Sheffield United 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Portsmouth 34%, the draw 29% and Sheffield United 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Portsmouth took 5 points from their last 5 games and Sheffield United took 3 from 5. Portsmouth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Portsmouth won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Sheffield United won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Portsmouth score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sheffield United score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Portsmouth games and 13 of Sheffield United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 0 and Sheffield United won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Portsmouth 0, Sheffield United 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Portsmouthrecent form-1%
  • Sheffield Utdrecent form-4%
Portsmouth form D D W L LSheffield Utd form L L L W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portsmouth vs Sheffield United: Sheffield United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portsmouth host Sheffield United in the Championship on Wed 14 Oct, 19:45 at Fratton Park. Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Portsmouth won 0, Sheffield United won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Portsmouth 0, Sheffield United 1.

Our call

We expect Portsmouth to score about 1.2 goals and Sheffield United about 1.2. That points to Sheffield United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PortsmouthSheffield Utd
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws65
Losses88
Goals scored2528
Goals conceded3328
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record3W 3D 4L2W 2D 5L
Away record3W 3D 4L5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%4/9
Over 2.5 goals43%11/8
Over 3.5 goals22%7/2
Both teams to score49%Evens
Portsmouth or Draw63%4/7
Sheffield United or Draw66%1/2
Portsmouth to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Portsmouth clean sheet29%12/5
Sheffield United clean sheet31%11/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
0-110.5%
0-09.9%
1-09.8%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Portsmouth to score 1.2 goals and Sheffield United 1.2.

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Portsmouth last 20 games and 13 of Sheffield United last 20.

How are Portsmouth playing?

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Sheffield United playing?

Sheffield United have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Portsmouth and Sheffield United last met?

It ended Portsmouth 0, Sheffield United 1. In the last 2 meetings Portsmouth won 0 and Sheffield United won 2.

What is the best bet for Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Portsmouth against Sheffield Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.