Predictions › United Kingdom › Preston North End vs Southampton

ChampionshipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Preston North End vs Southampton prediction

Deepdale

Preston North EndHome

0.97 : 2.00

expected goals

SouthamptonAway

17%Preston

22%Draw

61%Southampton

Eagle safe pickSouthampton or Draw

1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Preston North End vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Southampton or Draw at 1/5.

Prediction: Southampton to win
Chance: 61%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Preston North End 1.0, Southampton 2.0
Best bet: Southampton or Draw at 1/5
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Southampton or Draw

83% chanceFair price 1/52 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Southampton to win and Over 2.5

41% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Preston North End 17%, the draw 22% and Southampton 61%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Preston North End took 2 points from their last 5 games and Southampton took 10 from 5. Southampton come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Preston North End won 1 of their last 11 games at home. Southampton won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Preston North End score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.0. Southampton score 1.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Preston North End games and 13 of Southampton games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Preston North End won 1 and Southampton won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Preston North End 1, Southampton 3.
6
The safest bet
Southampton or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Prestonrecent form-4%
Southamptonrecent form+3%

Preston form D L L L DSouthampton form W D W W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Preston North End vs Southampton: Southampton are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Preston North End host Southampton in the Championship on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Deepdale. Our prediction for Preston North End vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Southampton or Draw at 1/5.

Preston North End form

Preston North End have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Southampton form

Southampton have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Preston North End won 1, Southampton won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Preston North End 1, Southampton 3.

Our call

We expect Preston North End to score about 1.0 goals and Southampton about 2.0. That points to Southampton to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Southampton or Draw at 1/5. Our bold bet is Southampton to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Preston	Southampton
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	10
Draws	4	6
Losses	13	4
Goals scored	19	37
Goals conceded	41	24
Scored per game	0.9	1.9
Conceded per game	2.0	1.2
Home record	1W 3D 7L	6W 3D 1L
Away record	2W 1D 6L	4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	0%	25%
Both teams scored	70%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1/4
Over 2.5 goals	57%	8/11
Over 3.5 goals	35%	15/8
Both teams to score	54%	5/6
Preston North End or Draw	39%	6/4
Southampton or Draw	83%	1/5
Preston North End to win and Over 2.5	10%	17/2
Southampton to win and Over 2.5	41%	7/5
Preston North End clean sheet	13%	13/2
Southampton clean sheet	38%	13/8

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%

0-210.2%

1-210.0%

0-19.6%

0-36.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Preston North End vs Southampton?

Our prediction for Preston North End vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Southampton or Draw at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Preston North End vs Southampton?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-2. We expect Preston North End to score 1.0 goals and Southampton 2.0.

Will both teams score in Preston North End vs Southampton?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Preston North End last 20 games and 15 of Southampton last 20.

How are Preston North End playing?

How are Southampton playing?

What happened when Preston North End and Southampton last met?

It ended Preston North End 1, Southampton 3. In the last 2 meetings Preston North End won 1 and Southampton won 1.

What is the best bet for Preston North End vs Southampton?

Southampton or Draw at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Preston against Southampton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.