Predictions › United Kingdom › Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion
ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion prediction

Deepdale

Preston North EndHome
0.93 : 1.21
expected goals
West Bromwich AlbionAway
28%Preston
31%Draw
42%West Brom
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
West Bromwich Albion to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Preston North End 0.9, West Bromwich Albion 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Preston North End 28%, the draw 31% and West Bromwich Albion 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Preston North End took 1 point from their last 5 games and West Bromwich Albion took 7 from 5. West Bromwich Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Preston North End won 2 of their last 11 games at home. West Bromwich Albion won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Preston North End score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. West Bromwich Albion score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Preston North End games and 9 of West Bromwich Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Preston North End won 0 and West Bromwich Albion won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Preston North End 0, West Bromwich Albion 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Prestonrecent form-4%
  • Prestonrest between games-5%
  • West Bromrest between games-5%
Preston form D L D L LWest Brom form W L L D WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion: West Bromwich Albion shade it

The big picture

Preston North End host West Bromwich Albion in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Deepdale. Our prediction for Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Preston North End form

Preston North End have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

West Bromwich Albion form

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Preston North End won 0, West Bromwich Albion won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Preston North End 0, West Bromwich Albion 2.

Our call

We expect Preston North End to score about 0.9 goals and West Bromwich Albion about 1.2. That points to West Bromwich Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PrestonWest Brom
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws46
Losses125
Goals scored2227
Goals conceded3918
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.90.9
Home record2W 2D 7L3W 5D 1L
Away record2W 2D 5L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets0%40%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals70%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%4/7
Over 2.5 goals36%7/4
Over 3.5 goals17%5/1
Both teams to score43%5/4
Preston North End or Draw58%8/11
West Bromwich Albion or Draw72%4/11
Preston North End to win and Over 2.512%7/1
West Bromwich Albion to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Preston North End clean sheet30%12/5
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet39%6/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-113.4%
0-012.5%
1-010.1%
0-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion?

Our prediction for Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Preston North End to score 0.9 goals and West Bromwich Albion 1.2.

Will both teams score in Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Preston North End last 20 games and 10 of West Bromwich Albion last 20.

How are Preston North End playing?

Preston North End have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are West Bromwich Albion playing?

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Preston North End and West Bromwich Albion last met?

It ended Preston North End 0, West Bromwich Albion 2. In the last 2 meetings Preston North End won 0 and West Bromwich Albion won 2.

What is the best bet for Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/9, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Preston against West Brom. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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