Predictions › Netherlands › PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam

EredivisieSun 25 Oct, 13:30 Netherlands time

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction

Philips Stadion

PSV EindhovenHome

2.00 : 1.85

expected goals

Feyenoord RotterdamAway

42%PSV

22%Draw

36%Feyenoord

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction: PSV Eindhoven to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 2.0, Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.9
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score: 73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives PSV Eindhoven 42%, the draw 22% and Feyenoord Rotterdam 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
PSV Eindhoven took 7 points from their last 5 games and Feyenoord Rotterdam took 12 from 5. Feyenoord Rotterdam come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
PSV Eindhoven won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Feyenoord Rotterdam won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
PSV Eindhoven score 2.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Feyenoord Rotterdam score 2.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of PSV Eindhoven games and 12 of Feyenoord Rotterdam games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 2 and Feyenoord Rotterdam won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended PSV Eindhoven 3, Feyenoord Rotterdam 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

PSVrecent form+1%
Feyenoordrecent form+3%
PSVrest between games-5%
Feyenoordrest between games-5%

PSV form D W L W DFeyenoord form D W W W LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam: PSV Eindhoven shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

PSV Eindhoven host Feyenoord Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 at Philips Stadion. Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

PSV Eindhoven form

PSV Eindhoven have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Feyenoord Rotterdam form

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. PSV Eindhoven won 2, Feyenoord Rotterdam won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished PSV Eindhoven 3, Feyenoord Rotterdam 0.

Our call

We expect PSV Eindhoven to score about 2.0 goals and Feyenoord Rotterdam about 1.9. That points to PSV Eindhoven to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	PSV	Feyenoord
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	11
Draws	3	7
Losses	4	2
Goals scored	58	46
Goals conceded	28	25
Scored per game	2.9	2.3
Conceded per game	1.4	1.3
Home record	7W 2D 1L	5W 4D 0L
Away record	6W 1D 3L	6W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Both teams scored	85%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	90%	1.11
Over 2.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 3.5 goals	54%	1.87
Both teams to score	73%	1.36
PSV Eindhoven or Draw	64%	1.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Draw	58%	1.72
PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.95
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.47
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet	16%	6.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet	14%	7.39

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.4%

2-17.9%

1-27.3%

2-27.3%

3-15.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect PSV Eindhoven to score 2.0 goals and Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.9.

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of PSV Eindhoven last 20 games and 13 of Feyenoord Rotterdam last 20.

How are PSV Eindhoven playing?

How are Feyenoord Rotterdam playing?

What happened when PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord Rotterdam last met?

It ended PSV Eindhoven 3, Feyenoord Rotterdam 0. In the last 2 meetings PSV Eindhoven won 2 and Feyenoord Rotterdam won 0.

What is the best bet for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PSV against Feyenoord. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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