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Predictions › Mexico › Puebla vs Pumas UNAM
Liga MXSat 31 Oct, 03:00 Mexico time

Puebla vs Pumas UNAM prediction

Estadio Cuauhtémoc

PueblaHome
1.12 : 1.58
expected goals
Pumas UNAMAway
26%Puebla
26%Draw
47%UNAM
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Puebla vs Pumas UNAM is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Pumas UNAM to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Puebla 1.1, Pumas UNAM 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Puebla 26%, the draw 26% and Pumas UNAM 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Puebla took 3 points from their last 5 games and Pumas UNAM took 5 from 5. Pumas UNAM come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Puebla won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Pumas UNAM won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Puebla score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Pumas UNAM score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Puebla games and 12 of Pumas UNAM games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Puebla won 0 and Pumas UNAM won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Puebla 2, Pumas UNAM 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pueblarecent form-3%
  • UNAMrecent form-3%
Puebla form D D L D LUNAM form D D L D LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Puebla vs Pumas UNAM: Pumas UNAM are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Puebla host Pumas UNAM in the Liga MX on Sat 31 Oct, 03:00 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Our prediction for Puebla vs Pumas UNAM is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Puebla form

Puebla have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Pumas UNAM form

Pumas UNAM have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Puebla won 0, Pumas UNAM won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Puebla 2, Pumas UNAM 3.

Our call

We expect Puebla to score about 1.1 goals and Pumas UNAM about 1.6. That points to Pumas UNAM to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5 at 3.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PueblaUNAM
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws67
Losses106
Goals scored1733
Goals conceded2831
Scored per game0.81.6
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record1W 5D 3L3W 4D 3L
Away record3W 1D 7L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals29%3.48
Both teams to score54%1.84
Puebla or Draw53%1.90
Pumas UNAM or Draw74%1.36
Puebla to win and Over 2.515%6.54
Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.529%3.45
Puebla clean sheet21%4.86
Pumas UNAM clean sheet33%3.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
0-19.9%
1-29.4%
0-28.4%
0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Puebla vs Pumas UNAM?

Our prediction for Puebla vs Pumas UNAM is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Puebla vs Pumas UNAM?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Puebla to score 1.1 goals and Pumas UNAM 1.6.

Will both teams score in Puebla vs Pumas UNAM?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Puebla last 20 games and 12 of Pumas UNAM last 20.

How are Puebla playing?

Puebla have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Pumas UNAM playing?

Pumas UNAM have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Puebla and Pumas UNAM last met?

It ended Puebla 2, Pumas UNAM 3. In the last 1 meeting Puebla won 0 and Pumas UNAM won 1.

What is the best bet for Puebla vs Pumas UNAM?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Puebla against UNAM. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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