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Predictions › Mexico › Pumas UNAM vs América
Liga MXSun 8 Nov, 03:00 Mexico time

Pumas UNAM vs América prediction

Estadio Olímpico Universitario

Pumas UNAMHome
1.71 : 2.26
expected goals
AméricaAway
29%UNAM
21%Draw
50%América
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs América is América to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
América to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Pumas UNAM 1.7, América 2.3
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
74%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

América to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pumas UNAM 29%, the draw 21% and América 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pumas UNAM took 5 points from their last 5 games and América took 8 from 5. América come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pumas UNAM won 2 of their last 10 games at home. América won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pumas UNAM score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. América score 2.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Pumas UNAM games and 13 of América games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Pumas UNAM won 1 and América won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Pumas UNAM 3, América 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UNAMrecent form-1%
  • Américarecent form+1%
  • Américarest between games-5%
UNAM form D L W D LAmérica form D L W W DHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pumas UNAM vs América: América are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pumas UNAM host América in the Liga MX on Sun 8 Nov, 03:00 at Estadio Olímpico Universitario. Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs América is América to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31.

Pumas UNAM form

Pumas UNAM have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

América form

América have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Pumas UNAM won 1, América won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Pumas UNAM 3, América 3.

Our call

We expect Pumas UNAM to score about 1.7 goals and América about 2.3. That points to América to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is América to win and Over 2.5 at 2.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UNAMAmérica
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws86
Losses74
Goals scored2845
Goals conceded3230
Scored per game1.42.3
Conceded per game1.61.5
Home record2W 5D 3L4W 4D 3L
Away record3W 3D 4L6W 2D 1L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%1.10
Over 2.5 goals76%1.32
Over 3.5 goals56%1.78
Both teams to score74%1.35
Pumas UNAM or Draw50%2.00
América or Draw71%1.41
Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.523%4.27
América to win and Over 2.541%2.41
Pumas UNAM clean sheet10%9.61
América clean sheet18%5.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-28.2%
1-17.7%
2-27.0%
2-16.2%
1-36.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pumas UNAM vs América?

Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs América is América to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Pumas UNAM vs América?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect Pumas UNAM to score 1.7 goals and América 2.3.

Will both teams score in Pumas UNAM vs América?

Both teams to score has a 74% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Pumas UNAM last 20 games and 14 of América last 20.

How are Pumas UNAM playing?

Pumas UNAM have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are América playing?

América have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Pumas UNAM and América last met?

It ended Pumas UNAM 3, América 3. In the last 4 meetings Pumas UNAM won 1 and América won 1.

What is the best bet for Pumas UNAM vs América?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UNAM against América. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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