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Predictions › Mexico › Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey
Liga MXSun 22 Nov, 01:00 Mexico time

Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey prediction

Estadio Olímpico Universitario

Pumas UNAMHome
2.02 : 1.45
expected goals
MonterreyAway
50%UNAM
23%Draw
27%Monterrey
Eagle safe pickPumas UNAM or Draw
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Pumas UNAM or Draw at 1.35.

Prediction
Pumas UNAM to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Pumas UNAM 2.0, Monterrey 1.4
Best bet
Pumas UNAM or Draw at 1.35
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pumas UNAM or Draw
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pumas UNAM 50%, the draw 23% and Monterrey 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pumas UNAM took 8 points from their last 5 games and Monterrey took 7 from 5. Pumas UNAM come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pumas UNAM won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Monterrey won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pumas UNAM score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Monterrey score 1.5 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Pumas UNAM games and 13 of Monterrey games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pumas UNAM won 1 and Monterrey won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Pumas UNAM 2, Monterrey 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pumas UNAM or Draw has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UNAMrecent form+1%
UNAM form D W D L WMonterrey form L D L W WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey: Pumas UNAM are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pumas UNAM host Monterrey in the Liga MX on Sun 22 Nov, 01:00 at Estadio Olímpico Universitario. Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Pumas UNAM or Draw at 1.35.

Pumas UNAM form

Pumas UNAM have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Monterrey form

Monterrey have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pumas UNAM won 1, Monterrey won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Pumas UNAM 2, Monterrey 0.

Our call

We expect Pumas UNAM to score about 2.0 goals and Monterrey about 1.4. That points to Pumas UNAM to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Pumas UNAM or Draw at 1.35. Our bold bet is Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5 at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UNAMMonterrey
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws74
Losses79
Goals scored2630
Goals conceded2934
Scored per game1.31.5
Conceded per game1.41.7
Home record2W 5D 3L5W 2D 4L
Away record4W 2D 4L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals46%2.19
Both teams to score67%1.50
Pumas UNAM or Draw73%1.37
Monterrey or Draw50%2.01
Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.538%2.62
Monterrey to win and Over 2.520%5.04
Pumas UNAM clean sheet24%4.25
Monterrey clean sheet13%7.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.7%
2-19.2%
2-26.7%
1-26.6%
2-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?

Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Pumas UNAM or Draw at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect Pumas UNAM to score 2.0 goals and Monterrey 1.4.

Will both teams score in Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Pumas UNAM last 20 games and 12 of Monterrey last 20.

How are Pumas UNAM playing?

Pumas UNAM have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Monterrey playing?

Monterrey have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Pumas UNAM and Monterrey last met?

It ended Pumas UNAM 2, Monterrey 0. In the last 2 meetings Pumas UNAM won 1 and Monterrey won 0.

What is the best bet for Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?

Pumas UNAM or Draw at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UNAM against Monterrey. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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