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Predictions › Mexico › Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL
Liga MXSun 25 Oct, 03:00 Mexico time

Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL prediction

Estadio Olímpico Universitario

Pumas UNAMHome
1.61 : 1.15
expected goals
Tigres UANLAway
47%UNAM
26%Draw
27%Tigres
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Pumas UNAM to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Pumas UNAM 1.6, Tigres UANL 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pumas UNAM 47%, the draw 26% and Tigres UANL 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pumas UNAM took 5 points from their last 5 games and Tigres UANL took 8 from 5. Tigres UANL come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pumas UNAM won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Tigres UANL won 1 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pumas UNAM score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Tigres UANL score 1.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Pumas UNAM games and 8 of Tigres UANL games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pumas UNAM won 1 and Tigres UANL won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Tigres UANL 0, Pumas UNAM 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UNAMrecent form-1%
UNAM form D L D L WTigres form D W L D DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL: Pumas UNAM are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pumas UNAM host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX on Sun 25 Oct, 03:00 at Estadio Olímpico Universitario. Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Pumas UNAM form

Pumas UNAM have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Tigres UANL form

Tigres UANL have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pumas UNAM won 1, Tigres UANL won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Tigres UANL 0, Pumas UNAM 1.

Our call

We expect Pumas UNAM to score about 1.6 goals and Tigres UANL about 1.1. That points to Pumas UNAM to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5 at 3.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UNAMTigres
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws77
Losses66
Goals scored3326
Goals conceded3024
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.51.2
Home record3W 4D 3L6W 2D 0L
Away record4W 3D 3L1W 5D 6L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%3.35
Both teams to score55%1.81
Pumas UNAM or Draw73%1.36
Tigres UANL or Draw53%1.90
Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.530%3.38
Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.516%6.36
Pumas UNAM clean sheet32%3.15
Tigres UANL clean sheet20%4.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-09.5%
2-19.4%
2-08.2%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL?

Our prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Pumas UNAM to score 1.6 goals and Tigres UANL 1.1.

Will both teams score in Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Pumas UNAM last 20 games and 11 of Tigres UANL last 20.

How are Pumas UNAM playing?

Pumas UNAM have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Tigres UANL playing?

Tigres UANL have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Pumas UNAM and Tigres UANL last met?

It ended Tigres UANL 0, Pumas UNAM 1. In the last 2 meetings Pumas UNAM won 1 and Tigres UANL won 0.

What is the best bet for Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UNAM against Tigres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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