Predictions › India › Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC
Indian Super LeagueMon 19 Oct, 19:30 India time

Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC prediction

Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Delhi)

Punjab FCHome
0.90 : 1.09
expected goals
Mumbai City FCAway
29%Punjab FC
32%Draw
39%Mumbai City
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Mumbai City FC to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Punjab FC 0.9, Mumbai City FC 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Punjab FC 29%, the draw 32% and Mumbai City FC 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Punjab FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and Mumbai City FC took 7 from 5. Punjab FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Punjab FC won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Mumbai City FC won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Punjab FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Mumbai City FC score 1.3 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Punjab FC games and 4 of Mumbai City FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Punjab FC won 0 and Mumbai City FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Punjab FC 0, Mumbai City FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Punjab FCrecent form+1%
  • Punjab FCrest between games-3%
  • Mumbai City rest between games-3%
Punjab FC form L W D W DMumbai City form W W L D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC: Mumbai City FC shade it

The big picture

Punjab FC host Mumbai City FC in the Indian Super League on Mon 19 Oct, 19:30 at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Delhi). Our prediction for Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Punjab FC form

Punjab FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 18 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Mumbai City FC form

Mumbai City FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 13 games, with 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Punjab FC won 0, Mumbai City FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Punjab FC 0, Mumbai City FC 2.

Our call

We expect Punjab FC to score about 0.9 goals and Mumbai City FC about 1.1. That points to Mumbai City FC to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Punjab FCMumbai City
Games played1313
Wins67
Draws44
Losses32
Goals scored1817
Goals conceded129
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game0.90.7
Home record3W 2D 1L2W 2D 1L
Away record3W 2D 2L5W 2D 1L
Clean sheets38%54%
Both teams scored46%38%
Over 2.5 goals38%31%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%3.14
Over 3.5 goals14%7.16
Both teams to score40%2.50
Punjab FC or Draw61%1.63
Mumbai City FC or Draw71%1.40
Punjab FC to win and Over 2.512%8.55
Mumbai City FC to win and Over 2.517%6.06
Punjab FC clean sheet34%2.97
Mumbai City FC clean sheet41%2.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.6%
1-114.2%
0-114.2%
1-011.5%
0-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Our prediction for Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect Punjab FC to score 0.9 goals and Mumbai City FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Punjab FC last 13 games and 5 of Mumbai City FC last 13.

How are Punjab FC playing?

Punjab FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 18 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Mumbai City FC playing?

Mumbai City FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 13 games, with 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Punjab FC and Mumbai City FC last met?

It ended Punjab FC 0, Mumbai City FC 2. In the last 1 meeting Punjab FC won 0 and Mumbai City FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Punjab FC against Mumbai City . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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