Predictions › United Kingdom › Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City
ChampionshipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City prediction

MATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park RangersHome
1.73 : 1.15
expected goals
Lincoln CityAway
50%QPR
25%Draw
25%Lincoln City
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Queens Park Rangers to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Queens Park Rangers 1.7, Lincoln City 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Queens Park Rangers 50%, the draw 25% and Lincoln City 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Queens Park Rangers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Lincoln City took 4 from 5. Queens Park Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Queens Park Rangers won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Lincoln City won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Queens Park Rangers score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Lincoln City score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Queens Park Rangers games and 13 of Lincoln City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lincoln Cityrecent form-4%
QPR form D L W D DLincoln City form D D L L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City: Queens Park Rangers are favourites

The big picture

Queens Park Rangers host Lincoln City in the Championship on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at MATRADE Loftus Road. Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Lincoln City form

Lincoln City have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Queens Park Rangers to score about 1.7 goals and Lincoln City about 1.1. That points to Queens Park Rangers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QPRLincoln City
Games played2020
Wins610
Draws84
Losses66
Goals scored2731
Goals conceded2532
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record4W 4D 3L3W 2D 3L
Away record2W 4D 3L7W 2D 3L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%2/7
Over 2.5 goals55%5/6
Over 3.5 goals32%85/40
Both teams to score57%8/11
Queens Park Rangers or Draw75%1/3
Lincoln City or Draw50%Evens
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Lincoln City to win and Over 2.515%11/2
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet32%85/40
Lincoln City clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
2-19.7%
1-09.1%
2-08.4%
1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City?

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Queens Park Rangers to score 1.7 goals and Lincoln City 1.1.

Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Queens Park Rangers last 20 games and 11 of Lincoln City last 20.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Lincoln City playing?

Lincoln City have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in QPR against Lincoln City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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