Predictions › United Kingdom › Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City

ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City prediction

MATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park RangersHome

1.32 : 1.49

expected goals

Swansea CityAway

33%QPR

27%Draw

41%Swansea

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City is Swansea City to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Swansea City to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Queens Park Rangers 1.3, Swansea City 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Queens Park Rangers 33%, the draw 27% and Swansea City 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers took 4 points from their last 5 games and Swansea City took 12 from 5. Swansea City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Queens Park Rangers won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Swansea City won 6 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Queens Park Rangers score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Swansea City score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Queens Park Rangers games and 12 of Swansea City games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Queens Park Rangers won 1 and Swansea City won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Queens Park Rangers 1, Swansea City 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

QPRrecent form-1%
Swansearecent form+3%
Swansearest between games-5%

QPR form D D D D LSwansea form D W W W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: Swansea City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Queens Park Rangers host Swansea City in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at MATRADE Loftus Road. Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City is Swansea City to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Swansea City form

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Queens Park Rangers won 1, Swansea City won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Queens Park Rangers 1, Swansea City 2.

Our call

We expect Queens Park Rangers to score about 1.3 goals and Swansea City about 1.5. That points to Swansea City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	QPR	Swansea
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	10
Draws	8	5
Losses	6	5
Goals scored	27	29
Goals conceded	24	23
Scored per game	1.4	1.4
Conceded per game	1.2	1.1
Home record	3W 4D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 4D 3L	6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	15%	30%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	2/7
Over 2.5 goals	53%	10/11
Over 3.5 goals	31%	11/5
Both teams to score	58%	8/11
Queens Park Rangers or Draw	59%	4/6
Swansea City or Draw	67%	1/2
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Swansea City to win and Over 2.5	26%	3/1
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet	22%	7/2
Swansea City clean sheet	27%	11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%

1-28.8%

0-18.3%

2-17.8%

1-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City is Swansea City to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Queens Park Rangers to score 1.3 goals and Swansea City 1.5.

Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Queens Park Rangers last 20 games and 11 of Swansea City last 20.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

How are Swansea City playing?

What happened when Queens Park Rangers and Swansea City last met?

It ended Queens Park Rangers 1, Swansea City 2. In the last 2 meetings Queens Park Rangers won 1 and Swansea City won 1.

What is the best bet for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in QPR against Swansea. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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