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Predictions › Mexico › Querétaro vs Atlante
Liga MXSat 10 Oct, 23:00 Mexico time

Querétaro vs Atlante prediction

Estadio Corregidora

QuerétaroHome
1.39 : 1.12
expected goals
AtlanteAway
42%Queretaro
28%Draw
29%Atlante
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Atlante is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Querétaro to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Querétaro 1.4, Atlante 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Querétaro 42%, the draw 28% and Atlante 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Querétaro took 10 points from their last 5 games and Atlante took 6 from 5. Querétaro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Querétaro won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Atlante won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Querétaro score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Atlante score 1.2 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Querétaro games and 4 of Atlante games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Queretarorecent form+3%
Queretaro form W D W W LAtlante form W D L D DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Querétaro vs Atlante: Querétaro shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Querétaro host Atlante in the Liga MX on Sat 10 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Corregidora. Our prediction for Querétaro vs Atlante is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Atlante form

Atlante have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Querétaro to score about 1.4 goals and Atlante about 1.1. That points to Querétaro to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QueretaroAtlante
Games played2010
Wins82
Draws85
Losses43
Goals scored2512
Goals conceded2115
Scored per game1.31.2
Conceded per game1.11.5
Home record3W 4D 3L1W 3D 1L
Away record5W 4D 1L1W 2D 2L
Clean sheets30%10%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals45%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.18
Over 3.5 goals24%4.09
Both teams to score51%1.95
Querétaro or Draw71%1.42
Atlante or Draw58%1.73
Querétaro to win and Over 2.524%4.18
Atlante to win and Over 2.516%6.23
Querétaro clean sheet33%3.06
Atlante clean sheet25%4.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-010.5%
0-08.9%
2-18.8%
0-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Querétaro vs Atlante?

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Atlante is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Querétaro vs Atlante?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Querétaro to score 1.4 goals and Atlante 1.1.

Will both teams score in Querétaro vs Atlante?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Querétaro last 20 games and 7 of Atlante last 10.

How are Querétaro playing?

Querétaro have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Atlante playing?

Atlante have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Querétaro vs Atlante?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Queretaro against Atlante. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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