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Predictions › Mexico › Querétaro vs Cruz Azul
Liga MXMon 26 Oct, 01:00 Mexico time

Querétaro vs Cruz Azul prediction

Estadio Corregidora

QuerétaroHome
1.35 : 1.35
expected goals
Cruz AzulAway
36%Queretaro
27%Draw
37%Cruz Azul
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Cruz Azul is Cruz Azul to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Cruz Azul to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Querétaro 1.4, Cruz Azul 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Querétaro 36%, the draw 27% and Cruz Azul 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Querétaro took 13 points from their last 5 games and Cruz Azul took 8 from 5. Querétaro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Querétaro won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Cruz Azul won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Querétaro score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Cruz Azul score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Querétaro games and 13 of Cruz Azul games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Querétaro won 0 and Cruz Azul won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Querétaro 1, Cruz Azul 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Queretarorecent form+4%
  • Cruz Azulrecent form-1%
Queretaro form D W D W WCruz Azul form D D L L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Querétaro vs Cruz Azul: Cruz Azul shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Querétaro host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX on Mon 26 Oct, 01:00 at Estadio Corregidora. Our prediction for Querétaro vs Cruz Azul is Cruz Azul to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Cruz Azul form

Cruz Azul have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Querétaro won 0, Cruz Azul won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Querétaro 1, Cruz Azul 1.

Our call

We expect Querétaro to score about 1.4 goals and Cruz Azul about 1.4. That points to Cruz Azul to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QueretaroCruz Azul
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws76
Losses44
Goals scored2538
Goals conceded1930
Scored per game1.31.9
Conceded per game0.91.5
Home record4W 3D 3L5W 4D 2L
Away record5W 4D 1L5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored55%75%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals29%3.50
Both teams to score56%1.80
Querétaro or Draw63%1.58
Cruz Azul or Draw64%1.57
Querétaro to win and Over 2.522%4.59
Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.522%4.54
Querétaro clean sheet26%3.87
Cruz Azul clean sheet26%3.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-18.4%
1-08.3%
1-28.3%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Querétaro vs Cruz Azul?

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Cruz Azul is Cruz Azul to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Querétaro vs Cruz Azul?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Querétaro to score 1.4 goals and Cruz Azul 1.4.

Will both teams score in Querétaro vs Cruz Azul?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Querétaro last 20 games and 15 of Cruz Azul last 20.

How are Querétaro playing?

Querétaro have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Cruz Azul playing?

Cruz Azul have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Querétaro and Cruz Azul last met?

It ended Querétaro 1, Cruz Azul 1. In the last 2 meetings Querétaro won 0 and Cruz Azul won 0.

What is the best bet for Querétaro vs Cruz Azul?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Queretaro against Cruz Azul. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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