EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Mexico › Querétaro vs Necaxa
Liga MXMon 23 Nov, 01:00 Mexico time

Querétaro vs Necaxa prediction

Estadio Corregidora

QuerétaroHome
1.43 : 1.20
expected goals
NecaxaAway
42%Queretaro
27%Draw
31%Necaxa
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Necaxa is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Querétaro to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Querétaro 1.4, Necaxa 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Querétaro 42%, the draw 27% and Necaxa 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Querétaro took 0 points from their last 5 games and Necaxa took 4 from 5. Necaxa come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Querétaro won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Necaxa won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Querétaro score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Necaxa score 1.0 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Querétaro games and 10 of Necaxa games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Querétaro won 1 and Necaxa won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Querétaro 3, Necaxa 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Queretarorecent form-7%
  • Necaxarecent form-3%
Queretaro form L L L L LNecaxa form W L D L LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Querétaro vs Necaxa: Querétaro shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Querétaro host Necaxa in the Liga MX on Mon 23 Nov, 01:00 at Estadio Corregidora. Our prediction for Querétaro vs Necaxa is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Necaxa form

Necaxa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Querétaro won 1, Necaxa won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Querétaro 3, Necaxa 1.

Our call

We expect Querétaro to score about 1.4 goals and Necaxa about 1.2. That points to Querétaro to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QueretaroNecaxa
Games played2020
Wins83
Draws56
Losses711
Goals scored2620
Goals conceded2836
Scored per game1.31.0
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record3W 3D 4L3W 3D 5L
Away record5W 2D 3L0W 3D 6L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.04
Over 3.5 goals27%3.70
Both teams to score54%1.86
Querétaro or Draw69%1.45
Necaxa or Draw58%1.72
Querétaro to win and Over 2.525%4.04
Necaxa to win and Over 2.518%5.63
Querétaro clean sheet30%3.31
Necaxa clean sheet24%4.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-09.6%
2-18.9%
0-07.9%
0-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Querétaro vs Necaxa?

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Necaxa is Querétaro to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Querétaro vs Necaxa?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Querétaro to score 1.4 goals and Necaxa 1.2.

Will both teams score in Querétaro vs Necaxa?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Querétaro last 20 games and 14 of Necaxa last 20.

How are Querétaro playing?

Querétaro have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Necaxa playing?

Necaxa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Querétaro and Necaxa last met?

It ended Querétaro 3, Necaxa 1. In the last 1 meeting Querétaro won 1 and Necaxa won 0.

What is the best bet for Querétaro vs Necaxa?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Queretaro against Necaxa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.