EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Mexico › Querétaro vs Puebla
Liga MXMon 9 Nov, 00:00 Mexico time

Querétaro vs Puebla prediction

Estadio Corregidora

QuerétaroHome
1.45 : 1.03
expected goals
PueblaAway
46%Queretaro
28%Draw
26%Puebla
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Puebla is Querétaro to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Querétaro to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Querétaro 1.4, Puebla 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Querétaro to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Querétaro 46%, the draw 28% and Puebla 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Querétaro took 6 points from their last 5 games and Puebla took 2 from 5. Querétaro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Querétaro won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Puebla won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Querétaro score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Puebla score 1.0 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Querétaro games and 9 of Puebla games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Querétaro won 2 and Puebla won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Puebla 1, Querétaro 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pueblarecent form-3%
Queretaro form D L L W WPuebla form D L D D LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Querétaro vs Puebla: Querétaro are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Querétaro host Puebla in the Liga MX on Mon 9 Nov, 00:00 at Estadio Corregidora. Our prediction for Querétaro vs Puebla is Querétaro to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Puebla form

Puebla have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Querétaro won 2, Puebla won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Puebla 1, Querétaro 2.

Our call

We expect Querétaro to score about 1.4 goals and Puebla about 1.0. That points to Querétaro to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Querétaro to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QueretaroPuebla
Games played2020
Wins94
Draws65
Losses511
Goals scored2620
Goals conceded2334
Scored per game1.31.0
Conceded per game1.11.7
Home record4W 3D 3L1W 4D 4L
Away record5W 3D 2L3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.21
Both teams to score50%2.00
Querétaro or Draw74%1.36
Puebla or Draw54%1.85
Querétaro to win and Over 2.526%3.89
Puebla to win and Over 2.514%7.23
Querétaro clean sheet36%2.81
Puebla clean sheet24%4.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-011.4%
0-09.1%
2-19.1%
2-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Querétaro vs Puebla?

Our prediction for Querétaro vs Puebla is Querétaro to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Querétaro vs Puebla?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Querétaro to score 1.4 goals and Puebla 1.0.

Will both teams score in Querétaro vs Puebla?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Querétaro last 20 games and 12 of Puebla last 20.

How are Querétaro playing?

Querétaro have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Puebla playing?

Puebla have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Querétaro and Puebla last met?

It ended Puebla 1, Querétaro 2. In the last 2 meetings Querétaro won 2 and Puebla won 0.

What is the best bet for Querétaro vs Puebla?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Queretaro against Puebla. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.