Predictions › Argentina › Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba)

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 11 Oct, 22:15 Argentina time

Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba) prediction

Presidente Perón (Cilindro de Avellaneda)

Racing ClubHome

0.81 : 1.06

expected goals

Belgrano (Córdoba)Away

27%Racing

33%Draw

40%Belgrano

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction: Belgrano (Córdoba) to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Racing Club 0.8, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score: 37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

86% chanceFair price 1.172 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

16% chanceFair price 6.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Racing Club 27%, the draw 33% and Belgrano (Córdoba) 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Racing Club took 4 points from their last 5 games and Belgrano (Córdoba) took 6 from 5. Belgrano (Córdoba) come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Racing Club won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Belgrano (Córdoba) won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Racing Club score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Belgrano (Córdoba) score 1.2 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Racing Club games and 7 of Belgrano (Córdoba) games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Racing Club won 1 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 1, Racing Club 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Racing recent form-4%

Racing form L W L L LBelgrano form W D D D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba): Belgrano (Córdoba) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing Club host Belgrano (Córdoba) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 11 Oct, 22:15 at Presidente Perón (Cilindro de Avellaneda). Our prediction for Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Racing Club form

Racing Club have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Belgrano (Córdoba) form

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Racing Club won 1, Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Belgrano (Córdoba) 1, Racing Club 2.

Our call

We expect Racing Club to score about 0.8 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) about 1.1. That points to Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Racing	Belgrano
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	5
Goals scored	19	24
Goals conceded	24	16
Scored per game	0.9	1.2
Conceded per game	1.2	0.8
Home record	3W 3D 4L	6W 1D 4L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	3W 5D 1L
Clean sheets	25%	45%
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	57%	1.77
Over 2.5 goals	29%	3.48
Over 3.5 goals	12%	8.34
Both teams to score	37%	2.70
Racing Club or Draw	60%	1.66
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw	73%	1.37
Racing Club to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.09
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.36
Racing Club clean sheet	35%	2.87
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet	44%	2.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.2%

0-115.5%

1-114.0%

1-011.7%

0-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Our prediction for Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Racing Club to score 0.8 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1.

Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Racing Club last 20 games and 8 of Belgrano (Córdoba) last 20.

How are Racing Club playing?

How are Belgrano (Córdoba) playing?

What happened when Racing Club and Belgrano (Córdoba) last met?

It ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 1, Racing Club 2. In the last 1 meeting Racing Club won 1 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0.

What is the best bet for Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Racing against Belgrano . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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