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Predictions › Belgium › Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 10 Oct, 18:45 Belgium time

Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk prediction

Cegeka Arena

Racing GenkHome
2.11 : 0.87
expected goals
KV KortrijkAway
65%Genk
21%Draw
14%KV Kortrijk
Eagle safe pickRacing Genk or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk is Racing Genk to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Racing Genk or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Racing Genk to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Racing Genk 2.1, KV Kortrijk 0.9
Best bet
Racing Genk or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Racing Genk or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Racing Genk 65%, the draw 21% and KV Kortrijk 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Racing Genk the favourite at 1.44.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Racing Genk took 6 points from their last 5 games and KV Kortrijk took 3 from 5. Racing Genk come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Racing Genk won 3 of their last 8 games at home. KV Kortrijk won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Racing Genk score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. KV Kortrijk score 0.3 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Racing Genk games and 4 of KV Kortrijk games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Racing Genk or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KV Kortrijkrecent form-4%
Genk form L D D W DKV Kortrijk form W L L L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk: Racing Genk are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing Genk host KV Kortrijk in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 at Cegeka Arena. Our prediction for Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk is Racing Genk to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Racing Genk or Draw at 1.20.

Racing Genk form

Racing Genk have 6 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

KV Kortrijk form

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 6 losses in their last 7 games, with 2 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Racing Genk to score about 2.1 goals and KV Kortrijk about 0.9. That points to Racing Genk to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Racing Genk or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5 at 2.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GenkKV Kortrijk
Games played207
Wins61
Draws100
Losses46
Goals scored312
Goals conceded2915
Scored per game1.60.3
Conceded per game1.42.1
Home record3W 5D 0L1W 0D 3L
Away record3W 5D 4L0W 0D 3L
Clean sheets35%14%
Both teams scored55%14%
Over 2.5 goals50%57%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Racing Genk to win65%1.541.44-6.8%
A Draw20%4.904.30-12.2%
KV Kortrijk to win14%7.176.50-9.3%
Over 2.5 goals55%1.811.54-14.7%
Under 2.5 goals38%2.622.25-14.0%
Racing Genk -1.540%2.512.10-16.3%
KV Kortrijk +1.554%1.861.61-13.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score52%1.93
Racing Genk or Draw86%1.16
KV Kortrijk or Draw35%2.89
Racing Genk to win and Over 2.544%2.27
KV Kortrijk to win and Over 2.58%12.40
Racing Genk clean sheet42%2.39
KV Kortrijk clean sheet12%8.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.3%
1-010.1%
1-19.9%
2-19.8%
3-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk?

Our prediction for Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk is Racing Genk to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Racing Genk or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Racing Genk to score 2.1 goals and KV Kortrijk 0.9.

Will both teams score in Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Racing Genk last 20 games and 1 of KV Kortrijk last 7.

How are Racing Genk playing?

Racing Genk have 6 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

How are KV Kortrijk playing?

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 6 losses in their last 7 games, with 2 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Racing Genk vs KV Kortrijk?

Racing Genk or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Genk against KV Kortrijk. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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