Predictions › Belgium › Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière

Belgian Pro LeagueSat 21 Nov, 17:15 Belgium time

Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière prediction

Cegeka Arena

Racing GenkHome

2.33 : 0.95

expected goals

RAAL La LouvièreAway

68%Genk

19%Draw

13%La Louvière

Eagle safe pickRacing Genk to win

1.43

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière is Racing Genk to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Racing Genk to win at 1.43.

Prediction: Racing Genk to win
Chance: 68%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Racing Genk 2.3, RAAL La Louvière 0.9
Best bet: Racing Genk to win at 1.43
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Racing Genk to win

68% chancePrice 1.431 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Racing Genk to win and both score

33% chanceFair price 3.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Racing Genk 68%, the draw 19% and RAAL La Louvière 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Racing Genk the favourite at 1.43.
2
Recent form
Racing Genk took 6 points from their last 5 games and RAAL La Louvière took 3 from 5. Racing Genk come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Racing Genk won 5 of their last 9 games at home. RAAL La Louvière won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Racing Genk score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. RAAL La Louvière score 1.3 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Racing Genk games and 14 of RAAL La Louvière games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Racing Genk won 0 and RAAL La Louvière won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended RAAL La Louvière 5, Racing Genk 5.
6
The safest bet
Racing Genk to win has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Genkrecent form-1%
La Louvièrerecent form-4%

Genk form L L W W LLa Louvière form L L W L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière: Racing Genk are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing Genk host RAAL La Louvière in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 21 Nov, 17:15 at Cegeka Arena. Our prediction for Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière is Racing Genk to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Racing Genk to win at 1.43.

Racing Genk form

Racing Genk have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

RAAL La Louvière form

RAAL La Louvière have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Racing Genk won 0, RAAL La Louvière won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished RAAL La Louvière 5, Racing Genk 5.

Our call

We expect Racing Genk to score about 2.3 goals and RAAL La Louvière about 0.9. That points to Racing Genk to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Racing Genk to win at 1.43. Our bold bet is Racing Genk to win and both score at 3.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Genk	La Louvière
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	4
Draws	8	3
Losses	5	13
Goals scored	28	26
Goals conceded	21	43
Scored per game	1.4	1.3
Conceded per game	1.1	2.1
Home record	5W 4D 0L	3W 3D 5L
Away record	2W 4D 5L	1W 0D 8L
Clean sheets	35%	15%
Both teams scored	45%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Racing Genk to win	68%	1.48	1.43	-3.7%
A Draw	18%	5.52	4.70	-14.8%
RAAL La Louvière to win	12%	8.14	6.00	-26.3%
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.52	2.25	-10.6%
Under 3.5 goals	53%	1.88	1.54	-17.9%
Racing Genk -1.5	43%	2.35	2.05	-12.8%
RAAL La Louvière +1.5	51%	1.98	1.63	-17.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.19
Over 2.5 goals	64%	1.57
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.41
Both teams to score	56%	1.79
Racing Genk or Draw	87%	1.15
RAAL La Louvière or Draw	32%	3.11
Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5	49%	2.03
RAAL La Louvière to win and Over 2.5	8%	11.86
Racing Genk clean sheet	39%	2.57
RAAL La Louvière clean sheet	10%	10.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.3%

2-19.7%

1-18.8%

1-08.3%

3-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?

Our prediction for Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière is Racing Genk to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Racing Genk to win at 1.43.

What is the score prediction for Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Racing Genk to score 2.3 goals and RAAL La Louvière 0.9.

Will both teams score in Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Racing Genk last 20 games and 9 of RAAL La Louvière last 20.

How are Racing Genk playing?

How are RAAL La Louvière playing?

What happened when Racing Genk and RAAL La Louvière last met?

It ended RAAL La Louvière 5, Racing Genk 5. In the last 2 meetings Racing Genk won 0 and RAAL La Louvière won 0.

What is the best bet for Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?

Racing Genk to win at 1.43, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Genk against La Louvière. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.