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Predictions › Uruguay › Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 31 Oct, 13:00 Uruguay time

Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo prediction

Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Racing (Montevideo)Home
1.38 : 0.57
expected goals
Cerro LargoAway
56%Racing (M)
29%Draw
15%Cerro Largo
Eagle safe pickRacing (Montevideo) or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo is Racing (Montevideo) to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Racing (Montevideo) or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Racing (Montevideo) to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Racing (Montevideo) 1.4, Cerro Largo 0.6
Best bet
Racing (Montevideo) or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
33%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Racing (Montevideo) or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
19% chanceFair price 5.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Racing (Montevideo) 56%, the draw 29% and Cerro Largo 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Racing (Montevideo) took 4 points from their last 5 games and Cerro Largo took 1 from 5. Racing (Montevideo) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Racing (Montevideo) won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Cerro Largo won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Racing (Montevideo) score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. Cerro Largo score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Racing (Montevideo) games and 5 of Cerro Largo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Racing (Montevideo) won 2 and Cerro Largo won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Racing (Montevideo) 1, Cerro Largo 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Racing (Montevideo) or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Racing (M)recent form-4%
  • Cerro Largorecent form-6%
Racing (M) form D L L L DCerro Largo form D L L L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo: Racing (Montevideo) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing (Montevideo) host Cerro Largo in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 at Parque Osvaldo Roberto. Our prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo is Racing (Montevideo) to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Racing (Montevideo) or Draw at 1.18.

Racing (Montevideo) form

Racing (Montevideo) have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Cerro Largo form

Cerro Largo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Racing (Montevideo) won 2, Cerro Largo won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Racing (Montevideo) 1, Cerro Largo 0.

Our call

We expect Racing (Montevideo) to score about 1.4 goals and Cerro Largo about 0.6. That points to Racing (Montevideo) to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Racing (Montevideo) or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Racing (M)Cerro Largo
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws88
Losses68
Goals scored1717
Goals conceded1622
Scored per game0.80.8
Conceded per game0.81.1
Home record6W 3D 1L2W 5D 3L
Away record0W 5D 5L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets45%30%
Both teams scored30%45%
Over 2.5 goals20%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals59%1.71
Over 2.5 goals31%3.24
Over 3.5 goals13%7.52
Both teams to score33%3.02
Racing (Montevideo) or Draw85%1.17
Cerro Largo or Draw44%2.28
Racing (Montevideo) to win and Over 2.524%4.25
Cerro Largo to win and Over 2.55%20.37
Racing (Montevideo) clean sheet57%1.77
Cerro Largo clean sheet25%3.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-019.0%
0-015.0%
2-013.5%
1-111.9%
2-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Our prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo is Racing (Montevideo) to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Racing (Montevideo) or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Racing (Montevideo) to score 1.4 goals and Cerro Largo 0.6.

Will both teams score in Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Both teams to score has a 33% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Racing (Montevideo) last 20 games and 9 of Cerro Largo last 20.

How are Racing (Montevideo) playing?

Racing (Montevideo) have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Cerro Largo playing?

Cerro Largo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Racing (Montevideo) and Cerro Largo last met?

It ended Racing (Montevideo) 1, Cerro Largo 0. In the last 3 meetings Racing (Montevideo) won 2 and Cerro Largo won 0.

What is the best bet for Racing (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Racing (Montevideo) or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Racing (M) against Cerro Largo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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