Predictions › Uruguay › Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers

Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 17 Oct, 16:00 Uruguay time

Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers prediction

Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Racing (Montevideo)Home

1.49 : 0.93

expected goals

Montevideo WanderersAway

49%Racing (M)

28%Draw

23%Wanderers

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers is Racing (Montevideo) to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Racing (Montevideo) to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Racing (Montevideo) 1.5, Montevideo Wanderers 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Racing (Montevideo) to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Racing (Montevideo) 49%, the draw 28% and Montevideo Wanderers 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Racing (Montevideo) took 4 points from their last 5 games and Montevideo Wanderers took 8 from 5. Montevideo Wanderers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Racing (Montevideo) won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Montevideo Wanderers won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Racing (Montevideo) score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. Montevideo Wanderers score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Racing (Montevideo) games and 7 of Montevideo Wanderers games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Racing (Montevideo) won 1 and Montevideo Wanderers won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Montevideo Wanderers 1, Racing (Montevideo) 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Racing (M)recent form-3%
Wanderersrecent form+1%
Racing (M)rest between games-2%

Racing (M) form L L D W LWanderers form W W D D LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers: Racing (Montevideo) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing (Montevideo) host Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 at Parque Osvaldo Roberto. Our prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers is Racing (Montevideo) to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Racing (Montevideo) form

Racing (Montevideo) have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Montevideo Wanderers form

Montevideo Wanderers have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Racing (Montevideo) won 1, Montevideo Wanderers won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Montevideo Wanderers 1, Racing (Montevideo) 2.

Our call

We expect Racing (Montevideo) to score about 1.5 goals and Montevideo Wanderers about 0.9. That points to Racing (Montevideo) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Racing (Montevideo) to win and Over 2.5 at 3.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Racing (M)	Wanderers
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	10
Draws	9	6
Losses	5	4
Goals scored	16	28
Goals conceded	15	22
Scored per game	0.8	1.4
Conceded per game	0.8	1.1
Home record	5W 4D 1L	5W 4D 0L
Away record	1W 5D 4L	5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	45%	45%
Both teams scored	35%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	15%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.42
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.30
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.46
Both teams to score	48%	2.10
Racing (Montevideo) or Draw	77%	1.30
Montevideo Wanderers or Draw	51%	1.98
Racing (Montevideo) to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.70
Montevideo Wanderers to win and Over 2.5	11%	8.77
Racing (Montevideo) clean sheet	40%	2.53
Montevideo Wanderers clean sheet	23%	4.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%

1-012.6%

2-09.9%

0-09.7%

2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Our prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers is Racing (Montevideo) to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Racing (Montevideo) to score 1.5 goals and Montevideo Wanderers 0.9.

Will both teams score in Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Racing (Montevideo) last 20 games and 10 of Montevideo Wanderers last 20.

How are Racing (Montevideo) playing?

How are Montevideo Wanderers playing?

What happened when Racing (Montevideo) and Montevideo Wanderers last met?

It ended Montevideo Wanderers 1, Racing (Montevideo) 2. In the last 1 meeting Racing (Montevideo) won 1 and Montevideo Wanderers won 0.

What is the best bet for Racing (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Racing (M) against Wanderers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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