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Predictions › Spain › Racing Santander vs Real Madrid
LaLigaSun 1 Nov, 15:15 Spain time

Racing Santander vs Real Madrid prediction

El Sardineros

Racing SantanderHome
1.30 : 2.80
expected goals
Real MadridAway
15%Racing
17%Draw
68%Real Madrid
Eagle safe pickReal Madrid or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Real Madrid to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Racing Santander 1.3, Real Madrid 2.8
Best bet
Real Madrid or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Real Madrid or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Madrid to win and both score
43% chanceFair price 2.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Racing Santander 15%, the draw 17% and Real Madrid 68%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Madrid the favourite at 1.26.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Racing Santander took 4 points from their last 5 games and Real Madrid took 12 from 5. Real Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Racing Santander won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Real Madrid won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Racing Santander score 2.0 goals a game and let in 2.1. Real Madrid score 2.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Racing Santander games and 13 of Real Madrid games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Real Madrid or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Racingrecent form-1%
  • Real Madridrecent form+3%
  • Real Madridrest between games-5%
Racing form D D L L WReal Madrid form D W W W LHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing Santander host Real Madrid in the LaLiga on Sun 1 Nov, 15:15 at El Sardineros. Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.18.

Racing Santander form

Racing Santander have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Real Madrid form

Real Madrid have 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Racing Santander to score about 1.3 goals and Real Madrid about 2.8. That points to Real Madrid to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Real Madrid to win and both score at 2.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RacingReal Madrid
Games played2020
Wins915
Draws41
Losses74
Goals scored4148
Goals conceded4224
Scored per game2.02.4
Conceded per game2.11.2
Home record7W 2D 0L10W 0D 0L
Away record2W 2D 7L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets5%25%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Racing Santander to win15%6.888.00+16.3%
A Draw16%6.166.50+5.6%
Real Madrid to win69%1.461.26-14.0%
Over 3.5 goals53%1.871.59-15.2%
Under 3.5 goals42%2.382.25-5.3%
Racing Santander +1.545%2.212.05-7.1%
Real Madrid -1.550%1.991.63-18.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%1.09
Over 2.5 goals78%1.29
Over 3.5 goals59%1.71
Both teams to score69%1.46
Racing Santander or Draw32%3.16
Real Madrid or Draw85%1.18
Racing Santander to win and Over 2.512%8.52
Real Madrid to win and Over 2.558%1.74
Racing Santander clean sheet6%16.45
Real Madrid clean sheet27%3.66

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-28.5%
1-37.9%
0-26.5%
1-16.4%
0-36.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

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Questions people ask

Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-3 and 0-2. We expect Racing Santander to score 1.3 goals and Real Madrid 2.8.

Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Racing Santander last 20 games and 13 of Real Madrid last 20.

How are Racing Santander playing?

Racing Santander have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Real Madrid playing?

Real Madrid have 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Racing against Real Madrid. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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