Predictions › Denmark › Randers FC vs Brøndby IF
Danish SuperligaFri 23 Oct, 17:00 Denmark time

Randers FC vs Brøndby IF prediction

Cepheus Park Randers

Randers FCHome
1.19 : 1.18
expected goals
Brøndby IFAway
35%Randers
29%Draw
35%Brøndby
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Randers FC vs Brøndby IF is Randers FC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Randers FC to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Randers FC 1.2, Brøndby IF 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Randers FC 35%, the draw 29% and Brøndby IF 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Randers FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Brøndby IF took 3 from 5. Randers FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Randers FC won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Brøndby IF won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Randers FC score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Brøndby IF score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Randers FC games and 12 of Brøndby IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Randers FC won 1 and Brøndby IF won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Brøndby IF 0, Randers FC 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brøndbyrecent form-6%
  • Randersrest between games-2%
  • Brøndbyrest between games-2%
Randers form D L L W WBrøndby form D L L L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Randers FC vs Brøndby IF: Randers FC shade it

The big picture

Randers FC host Brøndby IF in the Danish Superliga on Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 at Cepheus Park Randers. Our prediction for Randers FC vs Brøndby IF is Randers FC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Randers FC form

Randers FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Brøndby IF form

Brøndby IF have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Randers FC won 1, Brøndby IF won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Brøndby IF 0, Randers FC 3.

Our call

We expect Randers FC to score about 1.2 goals and Brøndby IF about 1.2. That points to Randers FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RandersBrøndby
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws43
Losses119
Goals scored2231
Goals conceded3632
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.81.6
Home record3W 3D 5L5W 1D 5L
Away record2W 1D 6L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.37
Over 3.5 goals21%4.65
Both teams to score49%2.04
Randers FC or Draw65%1.54
Brøndby IF or Draw65%1.55
Randers FC to win and Over 2.519%5.39
Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.518%5.47
Randers FC clean sheet31%3.25
Brøndby IF clean sheet30%3.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-010.3%
0-110.3%
0-010.1%
2-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Randers FC vs Brøndby IF?

Our prediction for Randers FC vs Brøndby IF is Randers FC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Randers FC vs Brøndby IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Randers FC to score 1.2 goals and Brøndby IF 1.2.

Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Brøndby IF?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Randers FC last 20 games and 11 of Brøndby IF last 20.

How are Randers FC playing?

Randers FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Brøndby IF playing?

Brøndby IF have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Randers FC and Brøndby IF last met?

It ended Brøndby IF 0, Randers FC 3. In the last 2 meetings Randers FC won 1 and Brøndby IF won 0.

What is the best bet for Randers FC vs Brøndby IF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Randers against Brøndby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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