Predictions › Denmark › Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub

Danish SuperligaSun 13 Sept, 14:00 Denmark time

Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub prediction

Cepheus Park Randers

Randers FCHome

1.60 : 1.32

expected goals

Odense BoldklubAway

44%Randers

26%Draw

31%Odense

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub is Randers FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Randers FC to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Randers FC 1.6, Odense Boldklub 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Randers FC to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Randers FC 44%, the draw 26% and Odense Boldklub 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Randers FC the favourite at 2.10.
2
Recent form
Randers FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Odense Boldklub took 2 from 5. Randers FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Randers FC won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Odense Boldklub won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Randers FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Odense Boldklub score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Randers FC games and 11 of Odense Boldklub games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings, Randers FC won 0 and Odense Boldklub won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Randers FC 2, Odense Boldklub 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Randersrecent form+1%
Odenserecent form-4%

Randers form W W L L WOdense form L D D L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub: Randers FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Randers FC host Odense Boldklub in the Danish Superliga on Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 at Cepheus Park Randers. Our prediction for Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub is Randers FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Randers FC form

Randers FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Odense Boldklub form

Odense Boldklub have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Randers FC won 0, Odense Boldklub won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Randers FC 2, Odense Boldklub 2.

Our call

We expect Randers FC to score about 1.6 goals and Odense Boldklub about 1.3. That points to Randers FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Randers FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Randers	Odense
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	5
Draws	4	5
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	24	23
Goals conceded	31	33
Scored per game	1.2	1.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.6
Home record	4W 3D 4L	4W 1D 5L
Away record	3W 1D 5L	1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	45%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Randers FC to win	41%	2.45	2.10	-14.4%
A Draw	24%	4.14	3.70	-10.6%
Odense Boldklub to win	29%	3.43	3.20	-6.6%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.68	1.56	-7.1%
Under 2.5 goals	38%	2.64	2.35	-11.1%
Randers FC -0.5	43%	2.32	2.00	-13.9%
Odense Boldklub +0.5	54%	1.84	1.71	-6.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.79
Over 3.5 goals	33%	2.99
Both teams to score	59%	1.69
Randers FC or Draw	69%	1.44
Odense Boldklub or Draw	57%	1.77
Randers FC to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.50
Odense Boldklub to win and Over 2.5	20%	5.09
Randers FC clean sheet	27%	3.73
Odense Boldklub clean sheet	20%	4.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

2-19.1%

1-08.0%

1-27.5%

2-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub?

Our prediction for Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub is Randers FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Randers FC to score 1.6 goals and Odense Boldklub 1.3.

Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Randers FC last 20 games and 12 of Odense Boldklub last 20.

How are Randers FC playing?

How are Odense Boldklub playing?

What happened when Randers FC and Odense Boldklub last met?

It ended Randers FC 2, Odense Boldklub 2. In the last 3 meetings Randers FC won 0 and Odense Boldklub won 1.

What is the best bet for Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Randers against Odense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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