Predictions › Denmark › Randers FC vs Viborg FF

Danish SuperligaSun 11 Oct, 12:00 Denmark time

Randers FC vs Viborg FF prediction

Cepheus Park Randers

Randers FCHome

1.30 : 1.62

expected goals

Viborg FFAway

30%Randers

26%Draw

44%Viborg

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Randers FC vs Viborg FF is Viborg FF to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction: Viborg FF to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Randers FC 1.3, Viborg FF 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.292 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Randers FC 30%, the draw 26% and Viborg FF 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Viborg FF the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
Randers FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Viborg FF took 10 from 5. Viborg FF come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Randers FC won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Viborg FF won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Randers FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.8. Viborg FF score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Randers FC games and 9 of Viborg FF games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Randers FC won 1 and Viborg FF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Viborg FF 3, Randers FC 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Randersrecent form-1%
Viborgrecent form+3%

Randers form L L W W LViborg form W D L W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Randers FC vs Viborg FF: Viborg FF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Randers FC host Viborg FF in the Danish Superliga on Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 at Cepheus Park Randers. Our prediction for Randers FC vs Viborg FF is Viborg FF to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Randers FC form

Randers FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Viborg FF form

Viborg FF have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Randers FC won 1, Viborg FF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Viborg FF 3, Randers FC 2.

Our call

We expect Randers FC to score about 1.3 goals and Viborg FF about 1.6. That points to Viborg FF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.53.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Randers	Viborg
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	9
Draws	4	4
Losses	10	7
Goals scored	24	29
Goals conceded	35	25
Scored per game	1.2	1.4
Conceded per game	1.8	1.3
Home record	3W 3D 4L	6W 1D 4L
Away record	3W 1D 6L	3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Randers FC to win	29%	3.43	3.20	-6.8%
A Draw	25%	3.98	3.55	-10.8%
Viborg FF to win	42%	2.40	2.05	-14.6%
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.87	1.61	-14.0%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	2.47	2.15	-12.8%
Randers FC +0.5	51%	1.96	1.69	-13.7%
Viborg FF -0.5	43%	2.32	1.95	-16.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.79
Over 3.5 goals	33%	2.99
Both teams to score	59%	1.70
Randers FC or Draw	56%	1.80
Viborg FF or Draw	70%	1.43
Randers FC to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.24
Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.43
Randers FC clean sheet	20%	5.05
Viborg FF clean sheet	27%	3.66

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

1-29.2%

0-18.1%

2-17.4%

0-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Randers FC vs Viborg FF?

Our prediction for Randers FC vs Viborg FF is Viborg FF to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Randers FC vs Viborg FF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Randers FC to score 1.3 goals and Viborg FF 1.6.

Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Viborg FF?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Randers FC last 20 games and 10 of Viborg FF last 20.

How are Randers FC playing?

How are Viborg FF playing?

What happened when Randers FC and Viborg FF last met?

It ended Viborg FF 3, Randers FC 2. In the last 2 meetings Randers FC won 1 and Viborg FF won 1.

What is the best bet for Randers FC vs Viborg FF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Randers against Viborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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