Predictions › Austria › Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg
Austrian BundesligaFri 16 Oct, 17:30 Austria time

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction

Allianz Stadion

Rapid ViennaHome
1.48 : 0.96
expected goals
TSV HartbergAway
48%Rapid Vienna
28%Draw
24%TSV Hartberg
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg is Rapid Vienna to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Rapid Vienna to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Rapid Vienna 1.5, TSV Hartberg 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rapid Vienna to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rapid Vienna 48%, the draw 28% and TSV Hartberg 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rapid Vienna took 12 points from their last 5 games and TSV Hartberg took 8 from 5. Rapid Vienna come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rapid Vienna won 8 of their last 11 games at home. TSV Hartberg won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rapid Vienna score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. TSV Hartberg score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Rapid Vienna games and 9 of TSV Hartberg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Rapid Vienna won 0 and TSV Hartberg won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Rapid Vienna 0, TSV Hartberg 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rapid Viennarecent form+3%
  • TSV Hartbergrecent form+1%
Rapid Vienna form W W L W DTSV Hartberg form D D W W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg: Rapid Vienna are favourites

The big picture

Rapid Vienna host TSV Hartberg in the Austrian Bundesliga on Fri 16 Oct, 17:30 at Allianz Stadion. Our prediction for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg is Rapid Vienna to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Rapid Vienna form

Rapid Vienna have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

TSV Hartberg form

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Rapid Vienna won 0, TSV Hartberg won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rapid Vienna 0, TSV Hartberg 2.

Our call

We expect Rapid Vienna to score about 1.5 goals and TSV Hartberg about 1.0. That points to Rapid Vienna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Rapid Vienna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Rapid ViennaTSV Hartberg
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws27
Losses78
Goals scored3623
Goals conceded2530
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.31.5
Home record8W 0D 3L2W 3D 6L
Away record3W 2D 4L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.27
Over 3.5 goals23%4.35
Both teams to score48%2.06
Rapid Vienna or Draw76%1.31
TSV Hartberg or Draw52%1.93
Rapid Vienna to win and Over 2.527%3.75
TSV Hartberg to win and Over 2.512%8.19
Rapid Vienna clean sheet38%2.62
TSV Hartberg clean sheet23%4.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-012.1%
2-09.5%
0-09.5%
2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?

Our prediction for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg is Rapid Vienna to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Rapid Vienna to score 1.5 goals and TSV Hartberg 1.0.

Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Rapid Vienna last 20 games and 10 of TSV Hartberg last 20.

How are Rapid Vienna playing?

Rapid Vienna have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are TSV Hartberg playing?

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg last met?

It ended Rapid Vienna 0, TSV Hartberg 2. In the last 3 meetings Rapid Vienna won 0 and TSV Hartberg won 1.

What is the best bet for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rapid Vienna against TSV Hartberg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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