Predictions › Germany › RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

BundesligaSat 10 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

Red Bull Arena

RB LeipzigHome

2.39 : 1.31

expected goals

Eintracht FrankfurtAway

61%RB Leipzig

20%Draw

19%Frankfurt

Eagle safe pickRB Leipzig or Draw

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt is RB Leipzig to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction: RB Leipzig to win
Chance: 61%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: RB Leipzig 2.4, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.3
Best bet: RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score: 67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

RB Leipzig or Draw

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Leipzig to win and both score

35% chanceFair price 2.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives RB Leipzig 61%, the draw 20% and Eintracht Frankfurt 19%. The bookmakers agree and make RB Leipzig the favourite at 1.49.
2
Recent form
RB Leipzig took 6 points from their last 5 games and Eintracht Frankfurt took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
RB Leipzig won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
RB Leipzig score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Eintracht Frankfurt score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of RB Leipzig games and 14 of Eintracht Frankfurt games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, RB Leipzig won 2 and Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1, RB Leipzig 3.
6
The safest bet
RB Leipzig or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

RB Leipzigrecent form-1%
Frankfurtrecent form+1%

RB Leipzig form L W L L WFrankfurt form D W L D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: RB Leipzig are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RB Leipzig host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 at Red Bull Arena. Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt is RB Leipzig to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.28.

RB Leipzig form

RB Leipzig have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Eintracht Frankfurt form

Eintracht Frankfurt have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. RB Leipzig won 2, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1, RB Leipzig 3.

Our call

We expect RB Leipzig to score about 2.4 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt about 1.3. That points to RB Leipzig to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is RB Leipzig to win and both score at 2.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	RB Leipzig	Frankfurt
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	5
Draws	2	7
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	39	31
Goals conceded	31	35
Scored per game	1.9	1.6
Conceded per game	1.6	1.8
Home record	7W 2D 1L	3W 3D 5L
Away record	4W 0D 6L	2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	85%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
RB Leipzig to win	58%	1.72	1.49	-13.4%
A Draw	19%	5.13	4.50	-12.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt to win	19%	5.24	4.70	-10.4%
Over 3.5 goals	50%	1.99	1.69	-15.0%
Under 3.5 goals	43%	2.30	2.05	-11.0%
RB Leipzig -1.5	39%	2.59	2.15	-17.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5	55%	1.81	1.57	-13.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.13
Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.40
Over 3.5 goals	51%	1.98
Both teams to score	67%	1.50
RB Leipzig or Draw	81%	1.24
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw	39%	2.56
RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.5	48%	2.07
Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5	14%	6.93
RB Leipzig clean sheet	27%	3.70
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet	9%	10.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.3%

1-18.2%

3-17.4%

2-07.1%

2-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt is RB Leipzig to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect RB Leipzig to score 2.4 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt 1.3.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of RB Leipzig last 20 games and 15 of Eintracht Frankfurt last 20.

How are RB Leipzig playing?

How are Eintracht Frankfurt playing?

What happened when RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt last met?

It ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1, RB Leipzig 3. In the last 2 meetings RB Leipzig won 2 and Eintracht Frankfurt won 0.

What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in RB Leipzig against Frankfurt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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