Predictions › Germany › RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg

BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction

Red Bull Arena

RB LeipzigHome

2.73 : 1.25

expected goals

FC AugsburgAway

68%RB Leipzig

17%Draw

15%Augsburg

Eagle safe pickRB Leipzig to win

1.43

Quick answer

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg is RB Leipzig to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Leipzig to win at 1.43.

Prediction: RB Leipzig to win
Chance: 68%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: RB Leipzig 2.7, FC Augsburg 1.3
Best bet: RB Leipzig to win at 1.43
Both teams to score: 67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

RB Leipzig to win

68% chancePrice 1.431 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Leipzig to win and both score

41% chanceFair price 2.411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives RB Leipzig 68%, the draw 17% and FC Augsburg 15%. The bookmakers agree and make RB Leipzig the favourite at 1.43.
2
Recent form
RB Leipzig took 9 points from their last 5 games and FC Augsburg took 3 from 5. RB Leipzig come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
RB Leipzig won 10 of their last 10 games at home. FC Augsburg won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
RB Leipzig score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. FC Augsburg score 1.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of RB Leipzig games and 14 of FC Augsburg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, RB Leipzig won 2 and FC Augsburg won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended RB Leipzig 2, FC Augsburg 1.
6
The safest bet
RB Leipzig to win has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Augsburgrecent form-3%

RB Leipzig form D W L L WAugsburg form D D L D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: RB Leipzig are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RB Leipzig host FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 at Red Bull Arena. Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg is RB Leipzig to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Leipzig to win at 1.43.

RB Leipzig form

RB Leipzig have 12 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

FC Augsburg form

FC Augsburg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. RB Leipzig won 2, FC Augsburg won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished RB Leipzig 2, FC Augsburg 1.

Our call

We expect RB Leipzig to score about 2.7 goals and FC Augsburg about 1.3. That points to RB Leipzig to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is RB Leipzig to win at 1.43. Our bold bet is RB Leipzig to win and both score at 2.41.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	RB Leipzig	Augsburg
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	8
Draws	0	6
Losses	8	6
Goals scored	43	38
Goals conceded	33	35
Scored per game	2.1	1.9
Conceded per game	1.6	1.8
Home record	10W 0D 0L	4W 5D 1L
Away record	2W 0D 8L	4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	35%	15%
Both teams scored	55%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
RB Leipzig to win	68%	1.48	1.43	-3.4%
A Draw	17%	5.79	4.90	-15.4%
FC Augsburg to win	15%	6.54	5.00	-23.5%
Over 3.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.65	-15.6%
Under 3.5 goals	43%	2.33	2.10	-10.0%
RB Leipzig -1.5	44%	2.25	2.00	-11.3%
FC Augsburg +1.5	50%	2.01	1.65	-18.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	91%	1.10
Over 2.5 goals	76%	1.32
Over 3.5 goals	56%	1.78
Both teams to score	67%	1.49
RB Leipzig or Draw	85%	1.17
FC Augsburg or Draw	32%	3.14
RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.5	56%	1.77
FC Augsburg to win and Over 2.5	11%	8.78
RB Leipzig clean sheet	29%	3.49
FC Augsburg clean sheet	7%	15.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.7%

3-17.9%

2-07.0%

1-16.8%

3-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Real Madrid Beat Leipzig 4-1 as Diomande and Mbappe Shine

Yan Diomande and Kylian Mbappe scored fine goals as Real Madrid beat Leipzig 4-1, though Vinicius Junior faced whistles from the home crowd.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg is RB Leipzig to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Leipzig to win at 1.43.

What is the score prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect RB Leipzig to score 2.7 goals and FC Augsburg 1.3.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of RB Leipzig last 20 games and 15 of FC Augsburg last 20.

How are RB Leipzig playing?

How are FC Augsburg playing?

What happened when RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg last met?

It ended RB Leipzig 2, FC Augsburg 1. In the last 2 meetings RB Leipzig won 2 and FC Augsburg won 0.

What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

RB Leipzig to win at 1.43, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in RB Leipzig against Augsburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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