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Predictions › Austria › RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau
Austrian BundesligaSun 1 Nov, 13:30 Austria time

RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau prediction

Red Bull Arena Salzburg

RB SalzburgHome
2.55 : 1.19
expected goals
Austria LustenauAway
66%RB Salzburg
18%Draw
15%Austria Lustenau
Eagle safe pickRB Salzburg or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau is RB Salzburg to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
RB Salzburg to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
RB Salzburg 2.5, Austria Lustenau 1.2
Best bet
RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

RB Salzburg or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Salzburg to win and both score
39% chanceFair price 2.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives RB Salzburg 66%, the draw 18% and Austria Lustenau 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    RB Salzburg took 10 points from their last 5 games and Austria Lustenau took 3 from 5. RB Salzburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    RB Salzburg won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Austria Lustenau won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    RB Salzburg score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Austria Lustenau score 1.2 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of RB Salzburg games and 6 of Austria Lustenau games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    RB Salzburg or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • RB Salzburgrecent form+1%
  • Austria Lustenaurecent form-3%
RB Salzburg form D L D W WAustria Lustenau form D L W L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau: RB Salzburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RB Salzburg host Austria Lustenau in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 at Red Bull Arena Salzburg. Our prediction for RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau is RB Salzburg to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.19.

RB Salzburg form

RB Salzburg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Austria Lustenau form

Austria Lustenau have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect RB Salzburg to score about 2.5 goals and Austria Lustenau about 1.2. That points to RB Salzburg to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is RB Salzburg to win and both score at 2.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RB SalzburgAustria Lustenau
Games played209
Wins102
Draws52
Losses55
Goals scored3611
Goals conceded2219
Scored per game1.81.2
Conceded per game1.12.1
Home record6W 1D 3L2W 1D 2L
Away record4W 4D 2L0W 1D 3L
Clean sheets30%11%
Both teams scored60%67%
Over 2.5 goals60%67%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.39
Over 3.5 goals51%1.95
Both teams to score65%1.55
RB Salzburg or Draw85%1.18
Austria Lustenau or Draw34%2.97
RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.553%1.89
Austria Lustenau to win and Over 2.511%8.77
RB Salzburg clean sheet30%3.29
Austria Lustenau clean sheet8%12.79

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
3-17.8%
2-07.7%
1-17.6%
3-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?

Our prediction for RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau is RB Salzburg to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect RB Salzburg to score 2.5 goals and Austria Lustenau 1.2.

Will both teams score in RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of RB Salzburg last 20 games and 6 of Austria Lustenau last 9.

How are RB Salzburg playing?

RB Salzburg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Austria Lustenau playing?

Austria Lustenau have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?

RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in RB Salzburg against Austria Lustenau. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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