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Predictions › Spain › RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell
LaLiga 2Sat 26 Sept, 16:30 Spain time

RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell prediction

Balaidos

RC Celta FortunaHome
1.26 : 1.11
expected goals
CD SabadellAway
39%Celta Fortuna
29%Draw
32%CD Sabadell
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell is RC Celta Fortuna to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
RC Celta Fortuna to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
RC Celta Fortuna 1.3, CD Sabadell 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives RC Celta Fortuna 39%, the draw 29% and CD Sabadell 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    RC Celta Fortuna took 7 points from their last 5 games and CD Sabadell took 8 from 5. CD Sabadell come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    RC Celta Fortuna won 1 of their last 3 games at home. CD Sabadell won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    RC Celta Fortuna score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. CD Sabadell score 0.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of RC Celta Fortuna games and 1 of CD Sabadell games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celta Fortunarest between games-2%
Home edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell: RC Celta Fortuna shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RC Celta Fortuna host CD Sabadell in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 26 Sept, 16:30 at Balaidos. Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell is RC Celta Fortuna to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

RC Celta Fortuna form

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

CD Sabadell form

CD Sabadell have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score about 1.3 goals and CD Sabadell about 1.1. That points to RC Celta Fortuna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 5 games in all competitions.

Celta FortunaCD Sabadell
Games played55
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21
Goals scored74
Goals conceded84
Scored per game1.40.8
Conceded per game1.60.8
Home record1W 0D 2L2W 0D 0L
Away record1W 1D 0L0W 2D 1L
Clean sheets40%60%
Both teams scored40%20%
Over 2.5 goals60%20%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.37
Over 3.5 goals22%4.65
Both teams to score49%2.05
RC Celta Fortuna or Draw68%1.46
CD Sabadell or Draw61%1.64
RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.521%4.84
CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.516%6.15
RC Celta Fortuna clean sheet33%3.03
CD Sabadell clean sheet28%3.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-011.0%
0-010.1%
0-19.6%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell?

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell is RC Celta Fortuna to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score 1.3 goals and CD Sabadell 1.1.

Will both teams score in RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of RC Celta Fortuna last 5 games and 1 of CD Sabadell last 5.

How are RC Celta Fortuna playing?

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are CD Sabadell playing?

CD Sabadell have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for RC Celta Fortuna vs CD Sabadell?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celta Fortuna against CD Sabadell. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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