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Predictions › Spain › RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar
LaLiga 2Mon 14 Sept, 18:30 Spain time

RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar prediction

Balaidos

RC Celta FortunaHome
1.05 : 1.10
expected goals
EibarAway
33%Celta Fortuna
31%Draw
36%Eibar
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.16

Quick answer

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.16.

Prediction
Eibar to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
RC Celta Fortuna 1.1, Eibar 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.16
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.162 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives RC Celta Fortuna 33%, the draw 31% and Eibar 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    RC Celta Fortuna took 7 points from their last 4 games and Eibar took 9 from 5. Eibar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    RC Celta Fortuna score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Eibar score 1.5 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of RC Celta Fortuna games and 10 of Eibar games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celta Fortunarecent form+2%
  • Eibarrecent form+1%
Celta Fortuna form W L W DEibar form W W W L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar: Eibar shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RC Celta Fortuna host Eibar in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 14 Sept, 18:30 at Balaidos. Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.16.

RC Celta Fortuna form

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read W, L, W, D, newest first.

Eibar form

Eibar have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score about 1.1 goals and Eibar about 1.1. That points to Eibar to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.16. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.01.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Celta FortunaEibar
Games played420
Wins213
Draws12
Losses15
Goals scored730
Goals conceded415
Scored per game1.81.5
Conceded per game1.00.8
Home record1W 0D 1L7W 1D 2L
Away record1W 1D 0L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets50%60%
Both teams scored50%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.56
Over 2.5 goals36%2.75
Over 3.5 goals17%5.86
Both teams to score44%2.27
RC Celta Fortuna or Draw64%1.55
Eibar or Draw67%1.50
RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.515%6.53
Eibar to win and Over 2.517%6.02
RC Celta Fortuna clean sheet33%3.00
Eibar clean sheet35%2.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-012.5%
0-112.0%
1-011.4%
1-27.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar?

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.16.

What is the score prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score 1.1 goals and Eibar 1.1.

Will both teams score in RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of RC Celta Fortuna last 4 games and 7 of Eibar last 20.

How are RC Celta Fortuna playing?

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for RC Celta Fortuna vs Eibar?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.16, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celta Fortuna against Eibar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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