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Predictions › Spain › RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II
LaLiga 2Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Spain time

RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II prediction

Balaidos

RC Celta FortunaHome
1.53 : 1.88
expected goals
Real Sociedad IIAway
31%Celta Fortuna
23%Draw
46%Real Sociedad II
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II is Real Sociedad II to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Real Sociedad II to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
RC Celta Fortuna 1.5, Real Sociedad II 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Sociedad II to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives RC Celta Fortuna 31%, the draw 23% and Real Sociedad II 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    RC Celta Fortuna took 4 points from their last 5 games and Real Sociedad II took 5 from 5. Real Sociedad II come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    RC Celta Fortuna won 1 of their last 4 games at home. Real Sociedad II won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    RC Celta Fortuna score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of RC Celta Fortuna games and 9 of Real Sociedad II games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celta Fortunarecent form-3%
  • Real Sociedad IIrecent form-1%
Celta Fortuna form D L L W LReal Sociedad II form L L W D DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II: Real Sociedad II are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RC Celta Fortuna host Real Sociedad II in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at Balaidos. Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II is Real Sociedad II to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

RC Celta Fortuna form

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Real Sociedad II form

Real Sociedad II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score about 1.5 goals and Real Sociedad II about 1.9. That points to Real Sociedad II to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Real Sociedad II to win and Over 2.5 at 3.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Celta FortunaReal Sociedad II
Games played720
Wins24
Draws26
Losses310
Goals scored819
Goals conceded1130
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.61.5
Home record1W 1D 2L0W 4D 5L
Away record1W 1D 1L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets29%15%
Both teams scored43%55%
Over 2.5 goals43%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%2.25
Both teams to score67%1.49
RC Celta Fortuna or Draw54%1.84
Real Sociedad II or Draw69%1.45
RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.523%4.43
Real Sociedad II to win and Over 2.534%2.93
RC Celta Fortuna clean sheet15%6.58
Real Sociedad II clean sheet22%4.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
1-28.9%
2-17.2%
2-26.8%
0-25.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II?

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II is Real Sociedad II to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score 1.5 goals and Real Sociedad II 1.9.

Will both teams score in RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of RC Celta Fortuna last 7 games and 11 of Real Sociedad II last 20.

How are RC Celta Fortuna playing?

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Real Sociedad II playing?

Real Sociedad II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for RC Celta Fortuna vs Real Sociedad II?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celta Fortuna against Real Sociedad II. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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