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Predictions › Spain › RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife
LaLiga 2Mon 19 Oct, 18:30 Spain time

RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife prediction

Balaidos

RC Celta FortunaHome
1.95 : 1.89
expected goals
TenerifeAway
40%Celta Fortuna
22%Draw
38%Tenerife
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife is RC Celta Fortuna to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction
RC Celta Fortuna to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
RC Celta Fortuna 1.9, Tenerife 1.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives RC Celta Fortuna 40%, the draw 22% and Tenerife 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    RC Celta Fortuna took 4 points from their last 5 games and Tenerife took 5 from 5. Tenerife come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    RC Celta Fortuna won 1 of their last 4 games at home. Tenerife won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    RC Celta Fortuna score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.8. Tenerife score 1.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of RC Celta Fortuna games and 3 of Tenerife games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celta Fortunarecent form-3%
  • Teneriferecent form-1%
Celta Fortuna form L D L L WTenerife form L D L W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife: RC Celta Fortuna shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RC Celta Fortuna host Tenerife in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 19 Oct, 18:30 at Balaidos. Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife is RC Celta Fortuna to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

RC Celta Fortuna form

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 10 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score about 1.9 goals and Tenerife about 1.9. That points to RC Celta Fortuna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 8 games in all competitions.

Celta FortunaTenerife
Games played88
Wins23
Draws22
Losses43
Goals scored1010
Goals conceded1412
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.81.5
Home record1W 1D 2L2W 1D 1L
Away record1W 1D 2L1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%38%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.36
Over 3.5 goals53%1.88
Both teams to score73%1.37
RC Celta Fortuna or Draw62%1.61
Tenerife or Draw60%1.67
RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.532%3.10
Tenerife to win and Over 2.530%3.30
RC Celta Fortuna clean sheet15%6.59
Tenerife clean sheet14%7.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.4%
2-17.7%
1-27.5%
2-27.3%
3-15.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife?

Our prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife is RC Celta Fortuna to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect RC Celta Fortuna to score 1.9 goals and Tenerife 1.9.

Will both teams score in RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of RC Celta Fortuna last 8 games and 4 of Tenerife last 8.

How are RC Celta Fortuna playing?

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 10 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Tenerife playing?

Tenerife have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.34, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celta Fortuna against Tenerife. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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