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Predictions › United Kingdom › Reading vs Barnsley
League OneSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Reading vs Barnsley prediction

Madejski Stadium

ReadingHome
2.16 : 1.09
expected goals
BarnsleyAway
61%Reading
21%Draw
18%Barnsley
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Reading vs Barnsley is Reading to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Reading to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Reading 2.2, Barnsley 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Reading to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 5/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Reading 61%, the draw 21% and Barnsley 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Reading took 8 points from their last 5 games and Barnsley took 2 from 5. Reading come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Reading won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Barnsley won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Reading score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Barnsley score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Reading games and 12 of Barnsley games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Reading won 0 and Barnsley won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Reading 2, Barnsley 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Readingrecent form+3%
  • Barnsleyrecent form-4%
Reading form D W D D WBarnsley form D L L D LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Reading vs Barnsley: Reading are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Reading host Barnsley in the League One on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Madejski Stadium. Our prediction for Reading vs Barnsley is Reading to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Reading form

Reading have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Reading won 0, Barnsley won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Reading 2, Barnsley 2.

Our call

We expect Reading to score about 2.2 goals and Barnsley about 1.1. That points to Reading to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Reading to win and Over 2.5 at 5/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ReadingBarnsley
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws67
Losses88
Goals scored3424
Goals conceded2434
Scored per game1.71.2
Conceded per game1.21.7
Home record4W 1D 5L2W 3D 4L
Away record2W 5D 3L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals63%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%7/5
Both teams to score59%4/6
Reading or Draw82%2/9
Barnsley or Draw39%8/5
Reading to win and Over 2.544%5/4
Barnsley to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Reading clean sheet34%2/1
Barnsley clean sheet12%15/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.9%
1-19.7%
2-09.0%
1-07.8%
3-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Reading vs Barnsley?

Our prediction for Reading vs Barnsley is Reading to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Reading vs Barnsley?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Reading to score 2.2 goals and Barnsley 1.1.

Will both teams score in Reading vs Barnsley?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Reading last 20 games and 13 of Barnsley last 20.

How are Reading playing?

Reading have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Reading and Barnsley last met?

It ended Reading 2, Barnsley 2. In the last 2 meetings Reading won 0 and Barnsley won 1.

What is the best bet for Reading vs Barnsley?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Reading against Barnsley. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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