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Predictions › United Kingdom › Reading vs Bromley
League OneSat 21 Nov, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Reading vs Bromley prediction

Madejski Stadium

ReadingHome
2.83 : 1.11
expected goals
BromleyAway
73%Reading
16%Draw
12%Bromley
Eagle safe pickReading draw no bet
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Reading vs Bromley is Reading to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Reading draw no bet at 1/6.

Prediction
Reading to win
Chance
73%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Reading 2.8, Bromley 1.1
Best bet
Reading draw no bet at 1/6
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Reading draw no bet
86% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Reading to win and both score
41% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Reading 73%, the draw 16% and Bromley 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Reading took 10 points from their last 5 games and Bromley took 1 from 5. Reading come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Reading won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Bromley won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Reading score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Bromley score 0.9 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Reading games and 9 of Bromley games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Reading won 0 and Bromley won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bromley 1, Reading 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Reading draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bromleyrecent form-6%
Reading form L W L D WBromley form L L L L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Reading vs Bromley: Reading are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Reading host Bromley in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 at Madejski Stadium. Our prediction for Reading vs Bromley is Reading to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Reading draw no bet at 1/6.

Reading form

Reading have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Bromley form

Bromley have 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 15 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Reading won 0, Bromley won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bromley 1, Reading 1.

Our call

We expect Reading to score about 2.8 goals and Bromley about 1.1. That points to Reading to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Reading draw no bet at 1/6. Our bold bet is Reading to win and both score at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ReadingBromley
Games played2016
Wins82
Draws64
Losses610
Goals scored3615
Goals conceded2038
Scored per game1.80.9
Conceded per game1.02.4
Home record5W 1D 3L1W 3D 5L
Away record3W 5D 3L1W 1D 5L
Clean sheets35%6%
Both teams scored50%63%
Over 2.5 goals50%56%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%1/10
Over 2.5 goals75%1/3
Over 3.5 goals55%4/5
Both teams to score63%4/7
Reading or Draw88%2/15
Bromley or Draw27%13/5
Reading to win and Over 2.560%4/6
Bromley to win and Over 2.59%10/1
Reading clean sheet33%2/1
Bromley clean sheet6%16/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.6%
3-18.2%
2-07.8%
3-07.4%
1-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Reading vs Bromley?

Our prediction for Reading vs Bromley is Reading to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Reading draw no bet at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Reading vs Bromley?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect Reading to score 2.8 goals and Bromley 1.1.

Will both teams score in Reading vs Bromley?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Reading last 20 games and 10 of Bromley last 16.

How are Reading playing?

Reading have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Bromley playing?

Bromley have 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 15 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Reading and Bromley last met?

It ended Bromley 1, Reading 1. In the last 1 meeting Reading won 0 and Bromley won 0.

What is the best bet for Reading vs Bromley?

Reading draw no bet at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Reading against Bromley. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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