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Predictions › United Kingdom › Reading vs Leyton Orient
League OneWed 21 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Reading vs Leyton Orient prediction

Madejski Stadium

ReadingHome
1.49 : 1.21
expected goals
Leyton OrientAway
43%Reading
27%Draw
30%Leyton Orient
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Reading vs Leyton Orient is Reading to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Reading to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Reading 1.5, Leyton Orient 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Reading 43%, the draw 27% and Leyton Orient 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Reading took 8 points from their last 5 games and Leyton Orient took 4 from 5. Reading come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Reading won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Leyton Orient won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Reading score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Leyton Orient score 1.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Reading games and 8 of Leyton Orient games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Reading won 1 and Leyton Orient won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Leyton Orient 3, Reading 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leyton Orientrecent form-3%
  • Readingrest between games-5%
  • Leyton Orientrest between games-5%
Reading form D D D W LLeyton Orient form D L W L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Reading vs Leyton Orient: Reading shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Reading host Leyton Orient in the League One on Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 at Madejski Stadium. Our prediction for Reading vs Leyton Orient is Reading to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Reading form

Reading have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Leyton Orient form

Leyton Orient have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Reading won 1, Leyton Orient won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Leyton Orient 3, Reading 1.

Our call

We expect Reading to score about 1.5 goals and Leyton Orient about 1.2. That points to Reading to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ReadingLeyton Orient
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws67
Losses89
Goals scored3420
Goals conceded2423
Scored per game1.71.0
Conceded per game1.21.1
Home record4W 1D 5L2W 2D 7L
Away record2W 5D 3L2W 5D 2L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%3/10
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens
Over 3.5 goals29%5/2
Both teams to score55%4/5
Reading or Draw70%4/9
Leyton Orient or Draw57%8/11
Reading to win and Over 2.526%11/4
Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Reading clean sheet30%12/5
Leyton Orient clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-09.2%
2-19.0%
2-07.4%
0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Reading vs Leyton Orient?

Our prediction for Reading vs Leyton Orient is Reading to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Reading vs Leyton Orient?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Reading to score 1.5 goals and Leyton Orient 1.2.

Will both teams score in Reading vs Leyton Orient?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Reading last 20 games and 8 of Leyton Orient last 20.

How are Reading playing?

Reading have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Leyton Orient playing?

Leyton Orient have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Reading and Leyton Orient last met?

It ended Leyton Orient 3, Reading 1. In the last 2 meetings Reading won 1 and Leyton Orient won 1.

What is the best bet for Reading vs Leyton Orient?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Reading against Leyton Orient. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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