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Predictions › Champions League › Real Betis vs FC Porto
Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Real Betis vs FC Porto prediction

Estadio La Cartuja

Real BetisHome
1.45 : 1.31
expected goals
FC PortoAway
40%Betis
27%Draw
33%FC Porto
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Betis vs FC Porto is Real Betis to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Real Betis to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Real Betis 1.4, FC Porto 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Porto to win
32% chancePrice 3.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Betis 40%, the draw 27% and FC Porto 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Betis the favourite at 2.15.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Betis took 13 points from their last 5 games and FC Porto took 12 from 5. Real Betis come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Betis won 6 of their last 9 games at home. FC Porto won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Betis score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Porto score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Real Betis games and 10 of FC Porto games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Betisrecent form+6%
  • FC Portorecent form+4%
Betis form D W W W WFC Porto form W W L W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Betis vs FC Porto: Real Betis shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Betis host FC Porto in the Champions League on Wed 14 Oct, 19:00 at Estadio La Cartuja. Our prediction for Real Betis vs FC Porto is Real Betis to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

FC Porto form

FC Porto have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Real Betis to score about 1.4 goals and FC Porto about 1.3. That points to Real Betis to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is FC Porto to win at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BetisFC Porto
Games played2020
Wins1015
Draws62
Losses43
Goals scored3138
Goals conceded2715
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record6W 2D 1L9W 2D 1L
Away record4W 4D 3L6W 0D 2L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored70%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Real Betis to win37%2.672.15-19.5%
A Draw26%3.843.55-7.5%
FC Porto to win32%3.113.10-0.2%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.941.69-12.7%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.332.10-9.7%
Real Betis -0.540%2.482.05-17.3%
FC Porto +0.554%1.841.63-11.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%3.33
Both teams to score57%1.76
Real Betis or Draw67%1.50
FC Porto or Draw60%1.66
Real Betis to win and Over 2.525%4.05
FC Porto to win and Over 2.520%4.89
Real Betis clean sheet27%3.72
FC Porto clean sheet23%4.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
2-18.7%
1-08.4%
1-27.9%
0-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Betis vs FC Porto?

Our prediction for Real Betis vs FC Porto is Real Betis to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Real Betis vs FC Porto?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Real Betis to score 1.4 goals and FC Porto 1.3.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs FC Porto?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Real Betis last 20 games and 9 of FC Porto last 20.

How are Real Betis playing?

Real Betis have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are FC Porto playing?

FC Porto have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Real Betis vs FC Porto?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Betis against FC Porto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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