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Predictions › Spain › Real Betis vs Málaga
LaLigaSat 31 Oct, 17:30 Spain time

Real Betis vs Málaga prediction

Estadio La Cartuja

Real BetisHome
2.37 : 0.99
expected goals
MálagaAway
67%Betis
19%Draw
14%Málaga
Eagle safe pickReal Betis or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Málaga is Real Betis to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Real Betis to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Real Betis 2.4, Málaga 1.0
Best bet
Real Betis or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Real Betis or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Betis to win and both score
34% chanceFair price 2.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Betis 67%, the draw 19% and Málaga 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Betis the favourite at 1.40.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Betis took 10 points from their last 5 games and Málaga took 2 from 5. Real Betis come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Betis won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Málaga won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Betis score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Málaga score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Real Betis games and 9 of Málaga games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Real Betis or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Betisrecent form+4%
  • Málagarecent form-3%
Betis form D W W D WMálaga form D D L L DHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Betis vs Málaga: Real Betis are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Betis host Málaga in the LaLiga on Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 at Estadio La Cartuja. Our prediction for Real Betis vs Málaga is Real Betis to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.17.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Málaga form

Málaga have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Real Betis to score about 2.4 goals and Málaga about 1.0. That points to Real Betis to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Real Betis to win and both score at 2.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BetisMálaga
Games played2020
Wins126
Draws47
Losses47
Goals scored3927
Goals conceded3331
Scored per game1.91.4
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record8W 1D 2L1W 6D 3L
Away record4W 3D 2L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Real Betis to win67%1.491.40-6.2%
A Draw18%5.485.00-8.8%
Málaga to win13%7.466.50-12.8%
Over 3.5 goals42%2.362.30-2.5%
Under 3.5 goals54%1.871.56-16.7%
Real Betis -1.545%2.232.00-10.1%
Málaga +1.551%1.961.65-16.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.53
Over 3.5 goals43%2.31
Both teams to score57%1.74
Real Betis or Draw86%1.16
Málaga or Draw33%3.08
Real Betis to win and Over 2.550%2.00
Málaga to win and Over 2.59%11.11
Real Betis clean sheet37%2.69
Málaga clean sheet9%10.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.8%
2-19.7%
1-18.6%
1-07.8%
3-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Betis vs Málaga?

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Málaga is Real Betis to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Real Betis vs Málaga?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Real Betis to score 2.4 goals and Málaga 1.0.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Málaga?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Real Betis last 20 games and 13 of Málaga last 20.

How are Real Betis playing?

Real Betis have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Málaga playing?

Málaga have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Real Betis vs Málaga?

Real Betis or Draw at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Betis against Málaga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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