Predictions › Spain › Real Betis vs Osasuna

LaLigaSun 11 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction

Estadio La Cartuja

Real BetisHome

1.89 : 0.89

expected goals

OsasunaAway

60%Betis

23%Draw

17%Osasuna

Eagle safe pickReal Betis or Draw

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Osasuna is Real Betis to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction: Real Betis to win
Chance: 60%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Real Betis 1.9, Osasuna 0.9
Best bet: Real Betis or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Real Betis or Draw

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Betis to win and Over 2.5

36% chanceFair price 2.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Real Betis 60%, the draw 23% and Osasuna 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Betis the favourite at 1.65.
2
Recent form
Real Betis took 13 points from their last 5 games and Osasuna took 4 from 5. Real Betis come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Real Betis won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Osasuna won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Real Betis score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Osasuna score 1.0 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Real Betis games and 11 of Osasuna games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Real Betis won 1 and Osasuna won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Osasuna 1, Real Betis 1.
6
The safest bet
Real Betis or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Betisrecent form+6%
Osasunarecent form-3%

Betis form D W W W WOsasuna form D L L L WHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Betis vs Osasuna: Real Betis are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Betis host Osasuna in the LaLiga on Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 at Estadio La Cartuja. Our prediction for Real Betis vs Osasuna is Real Betis to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.23.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Osasuna form

Osasuna have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Betis won 1, Osasuna won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Osasuna 1, Real Betis 1.

Our call

We expect Real Betis to score about 1.9 goals and Osasuna about 0.9. That points to Real Betis to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Real Betis to win and Over 2.5 at 2.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Betis	Osasuna
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	4
Draws	6	5
Losses	4	11
Goals scored	31	20
Goals conceded	27	34
Scored per game	1.6	1.0
Conceded per game	1.4	1.7
Home record	6W 2D 1L	3W 4D 4L
Away record	4W 4D 3L	1W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Real Betis to win	57%	1.75	1.65	-5.8%
A Draw	23%	4.39	4.00	-8.9%
Osasuna to win	17%	6.05	4.70	-22.4%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	1.99	1.71	-13.7%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.28	2.00	-12.5%
Real Betis -0.5	55%	1.83	1.59	-13.3%
Osasuna +0.5	39%	2.53	2.10	-17.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.30
Both teams to score	51%	1.98
Real Betis or Draw	83%	1.20
Osasuna or Draw	40%	2.51
Real Betis to win and Over 2.5	38%	2.63
Osasuna to win and Over 2.5	9%	10.89
Real Betis clean sheet	41%	2.43
Osasuna clean sheet	15%	6.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-011.1%

2-011.1%

1-111.1%

2-19.9%

3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Osasuna is Real Betis to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Real Betis or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Real Betis vs Osasuna?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Real Betis to score 1.9 goals and Osasuna 0.9.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Real Betis last 20 games and 12 of Osasuna last 20.

How are Real Betis playing?

How are Osasuna playing?

What happened when Real Betis and Osasuna last met?

It ended Osasuna 1, Real Betis 1. In the last 2 meetings Real Betis won 1 and Osasuna won 0.

What is the best bet for Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Real Betis or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Betis against Osasuna. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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