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Predictions › Spain › Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
LaLigaSat 21 Nov, 20:00 Spain time

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction

Santiago Bernabéu

Real MadridHome
2.53 : 0.81
expected goals
Celta VigoAway
74%Real Madrid
16%Draw
9%Celta Vigo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo is Real Madrid to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Real Madrid to win
Chance
74%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Real Madrid 2.5, Celta Vigo 0.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Madrid to win and both score
33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Madrid 74%, the draw 16% and Celta Vigo 9%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Madrid the favourite at 1.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Madrid took 15 points from their last 5 games and Celta Vigo took 5 from 5. Real Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Madrid won 9 of their last 9 games at home. Celta Vigo won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Madrid score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Celta Vigo score 0.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Real Madrid games and 8 of Celta Vigo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Real Madrid won 1 and Celta Vigo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Celta Vigo 1, Real Madrid 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Real Madridrecent form+7%
  • Celta Vigorecent form-1%
Real Madrid form W W W W WCelta Vigo form D L L D WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Real Madrid are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Madrid host Celta Vigo in the LaLiga on Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 at Santiago Bernabéu. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo is Real Madrid to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Real Madrid form

Real Madrid have 17 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Celta Vigo form

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Madrid won 1, Celta Vigo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Celta Vigo 1, Real Madrid 2.

Our call

We expect Real Madrid to score about 2.5 goals and Celta Vigo about 0.8. That points to Real Madrid to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Real Madrid to win and both score at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Real MadridCelta Vigo
Games played2020
Wins175
Draws08
Losses37
Goals scored5119
Goals conceded2120
Scored per game2.50.9
Conceded per game1.11.0
Home record9W 0D 0L3W 3D 5L
Away record8W 0D 3L2W 5D 2L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals75%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Real Madrid to win75%1.331.20-9.8%
A Draw15%6.486.50+0.3%
Celta Vigo to win9%11.2511.00-2.2%
Over 3.5 goals44%2.291.95-14.8%
Under 3.5 goals49%2.021.77-12.6%
Real Madrid -1.552%1.931.54-20.3%
Celta Vigo +1.541%2.422.20-9.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.54
Over 3.5 goals43%2.33
Both teams to score52%1.94
Real Madrid or Draw91%1.10
Celta Vigo or Draw26%3.88
Real Madrid to win and Over 2.554%1.84
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.56%17.26
Real Madrid clean sheet44%2.25
Celta Vigo clean sheet8%12.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.3%
3-09.6%
2-19.2%
1-08.5%
3-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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Mourinho Hopes Ancelotti Gives Endrick Playing Time With Brazil

José Mourinho hopes Carlo Ancelotti gives Endrick minutes for Brazil as the forward seeks more playing time.

10 Nov 2026
LaLiga

Police Intervene as Valencia Chaos Follows Loss to Real Madrid

Police had to restrain Valencia sporting director Braulio Vázquez at half time during a 3-0 defeat against Real Madrid at Mestalla.

8 Nov 2026
LaLiga

Real Madrid Close In on Manchester United Talent JJ Gabriel

Real Madrid are close to signing 16 year old JJ Gabriel from Manchester United, beating European rivals to the deal.

4 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo is Real Madrid to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Real Madrid to score 2.5 goals and Celta Vigo 0.8.

Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Real Madrid last 20 games and 9 of Celta Vigo last 20.

How are Real Madrid playing?

Real Madrid have 17 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Celta Vigo playing?

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Real Madrid and Celta Vigo last met?

It ended Celta Vigo 1, Real Madrid 2. In the last 2 meetings Real Madrid won 1 and Celta Vigo won 1.

What is the best bet for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Real Madrid against Celta Vigo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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