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Predictions › Spain › Real Oviedo vs Eibar
LaLiga 2Mon 12 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Real Oviedo vs Eibar prediction

Estadio Carlos Tartiere

Real OviedoHome
0.68 : 0.86
expected goals
EibarAway
26%Real Oviedo
37%Draw
37%Eibar
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Oviedo vs Eibar is a draw, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Real Oviedo 0.7, Eibar 0.9
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
29%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
22% chanceFair price 4.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Oviedo 26%, the draw 37% and Eibar 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Oviedo took 10 points from their last 5 games and Eibar took 15 from 5. Eibar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Oviedo won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Eibar won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Oviedo score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.2. Eibar score 1.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Real Oviedo games and 12 of Eibar games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Real Oviedorecent form+3%
  • Eibarrecent form+7%
Real Oviedo form W L W D WEibar form W W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Oviedo vs Eibar: a draw looks likely

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Oviedo host Eibar in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 12 Oct, 16:30 at Estadio Carlos Tartiere. Our prediction for Real Oviedo vs Eibar is a draw, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.29.

Real Oviedo form

Real Oviedo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Eibar form

Eibar have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Real Oviedo to score about 0.7 goals and Eibar about 0.9. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 4.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Real OviedoEibar
Games played2020
Wins614
Draws52
Losses94
Goals scored1735
Goals conceded2416
Scored per game0.81.8
Conceded per game1.20.8
Home record3W 4D 3L7W 1D 2L
Away record3W 1D 6L7W 1D 2L
Clean sheets45%60%
Both teams scored25%40%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals46%2.16
Over 2.5 goals20%4.96
Over 3.5 goals7%14.08
Both teams to score29%3.42
Real Oviedo or Draw63%1.58
Eibar or Draw74%1.35
Real Oviedo to win and Over 2.57%13.84
Eibar to win and Over 2.511%9.10
Real Oviedo clean sheet42%2.38
Eibar clean sheet51%1.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-022.1%
0-117.8%
1-013.7%
1-113.3%
0-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Oviedo vs Eibar?

Our prediction for Real Oviedo vs Eibar is a draw, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Real Oviedo vs Eibar?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Real Oviedo to score 0.7 goals and Eibar 0.9.

Will both teams score in Real Oviedo vs Eibar?

Both teams to score has a 29% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Real Oviedo last 20 games and 8 of Eibar last 20.

How are Real Oviedo playing?

Real Oviedo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Real Oviedo vs Eibar?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Real Oviedo against Eibar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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