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Predictions › Spain › Real Oviedo vs Girona
LaLiga 2Sat 14 Nov, 20:00 Spain time

Real Oviedo vs Girona prediction

Estadio Carlos Tartiere

Real OviedoHome
1.09 : 1.05
expected goals
GironaAway
35%Real Oviedo
31%Draw
33%Girona
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Oviedo vs Girona is Real Oviedo to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Real Oviedo to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Real Oviedo 1.1, Girona 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Oviedo 35%, the draw 31% and Girona 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Oviedo took 7 points from their last 5 games and Girona took 8 from 5. Girona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Oviedo won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Girona won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Oviedo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Girona score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Real Oviedo games and 7 of Girona games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Real Oviedo won 1 and Girona won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Real Oviedo 1, Girona 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gironarecent form+3%
  • Real Oviedorest between games-2%
Real Oviedo form L L D W WGirona form L W W W DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Oviedo vs Girona: Real Oviedo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Oviedo host Girona in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 14 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Carlos Tartiere. Our prediction for Real Oviedo vs Girona is Real Oviedo to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Real Oviedo form

Real Oviedo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Girona form

Girona have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Oviedo won 1, Girona won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Real Oviedo 1, Girona 0.

Our call

We expect Real Oviedo to score about 1.1 goals and Girona about 1.1. That points to Real Oviedo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.01.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Real OviedoGirona
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws57
Losses97
Goals scored2229
Goals conceded2722
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record2W 4D 4L4W 4D 3L
Away record4W 1D 5L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.57
Over 2.5 goals36%2.77
Over 3.5 goals17%5.91
Both teams to score44%2.27
Real Oviedo or Draw67%1.50
Girona or Draw65%1.55
Real Oviedo to win and Over 2.516%6.09
Girona to win and Over 2.515%6.52
Real Oviedo clean sheet35%2.86
Girona clean sheet34%2.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-012.6%
1-012.0%
0-111.5%
2-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Oviedo vs Girona?

Our prediction for Real Oviedo vs Girona is Real Oviedo to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Real Oviedo vs Girona?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Real Oviedo to score 1.1 goals and Girona 1.1.

Will both teams score in Real Oviedo vs Girona?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Real Oviedo last 20 games and 13 of Girona last 20.

How are Real Oviedo playing?

Real Oviedo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Girona playing?

Girona have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Real Oviedo and Girona last met?

It ended Real Oviedo 1, Girona 0. In the last 2 meetings Real Oviedo won 1 and Girona won 0.

What is the best bet for Real Oviedo vs Girona?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Real Oviedo against Girona. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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