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Predictions › United States › Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy
MLSSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy prediction

America First Field

Real Salt LakeHome
2.08 : 1.36
expected goals
LA GalaxyAway
53%Salt Lake
22%Draw
24%LA Galaxy
Eagle safe pickReal Salt Lake or Draw
-325

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy is Real Salt Lake to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Real Salt Lake or Draw at -325.

Prediction
Real Salt Lake to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Real Salt Lake 2.1, LA Galaxy 1.4
Best bet
Real Salt Lake or Draw at -325
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Real Salt Lake or Draw
76% chanceFair price -3252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price +1511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Salt Lake 53%, the draw 22% and LA Galaxy 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Salt Lake took 10 points from their last 5 games and LA Galaxy took 8 from 5. Real Salt Lake come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Salt Lake won 3 of their last 9 games at home. LA Galaxy won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Salt Lake score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. LA Galaxy score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Real Salt Lake games and 12 of LA Galaxy games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Real Salt Lake won 0 and LA Galaxy won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended LA Galaxy 2, Real Salt Lake 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Real Salt Lake or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Salt Lakerecent form+1%
  • LA Galaxyrecent form+1%
  • Salt Lakerest between games-5%
Salt Lake form D W W D LLA Galaxy form D D W L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy: Real Salt Lake are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Salt Lake host LA Galaxy in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at America First Field. Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy is Real Salt Lake to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Real Salt Lake or Draw at -325.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

LA Galaxy form

LA Galaxy have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Real Salt Lake won 0, LA Galaxy won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished LA Galaxy 2, Real Salt Lake 1.

Our call

We expect Real Salt Lake to score about 2.1 goals and LA Galaxy about 1.4. That points to Real Salt Lake to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Real Salt Lake or Draw at -325. Our bold bet is Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.5 at +151.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Salt LakeLA Galaxy
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws57
Losses107
Goals scored2727
Goals conceded3236
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record3W 3D 3L4W 4D 2L
Away record2W 2D 7L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%-630
Over 2.5 goals67%-201
Over 3.5 goals45%+122
Both teams to score66%-191
Real Salt Lake or Draw76%-310
LA Galaxy or Draw47%+114
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.540%+148
LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.518%+468
Real Salt Lake clean sheet26%+291
LA Galaxy clean sheet13%+697

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.6%
2-19.4%
2-06.9%
3-16.5%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy is Real Salt Lake to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Real Salt Lake or Draw at -325.

What is the score prediction for Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Real Salt Lake to score 2.1 goals and LA Galaxy 1.4.

Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Real Salt Lake last 20 games and 13 of LA Galaxy last 20.

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

Real Salt Lake have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are LA Galaxy playing?

LA Galaxy have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Real Salt Lake and LA Galaxy last met?

It ended LA Galaxy 2, Real Salt Lake 1. In the last 1 meeting Real Salt Lake won 0 and LA Galaxy won 1.

What is the best bet for Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

Real Salt Lake or Draw at -325, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Salt Lake against LA Galaxy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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