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Predictions › United States › Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC
MLSSat 24 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction

America First Field

Real Salt LakeHome
1.19 : 1.74
expected goals
St. Louis CITY SCAway
25%Salt Lake
25%Draw
50%St. Louis
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-355

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -355.

Prediction
St. Louis CITY SC to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Real Salt Lake 1.2, St. Louis CITY SC 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -355
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price -3552 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price +2191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Salt Lake 25%, the draw 25% and St. Louis CITY SC 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Salt Lake took 4 points from their last 5 games and St. Louis CITY SC took 13 from 5. St. Louis CITY SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Salt Lake won 4 of their last 10 games at home. St. Louis CITY SC won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Salt Lake score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. St. Louis CITY SC score 2.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Real Salt Lake games and 13 of St. Louis CITY SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Real Salt Lake won 0 and St. Louis CITY SC won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended St. Louis CITY SC 1, Real Salt Lake 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Salt Lakerecent form-3%
  • St. Louisrecent form+6%
  • Salt Lakerest between games-5%
  • St. Louisrest between games-5%
Salt Lake form D L W L LSt. Louis form D W W W WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC: St. Louis CITY SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Salt Lake host St. Louis CITY SC in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 at America First Field. Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -355.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 13 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Salt Lake won 0, St. Louis CITY SC won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished St. Louis CITY SC 1, Real Salt Lake 1.

Our call

We expect Real Salt Lake to score about 1.2 goals and St. Louis CITY SC about 1.7. That points to St. Louis CITY SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -355. Our bold bet is St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5 at +219.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Salt LakeSt. Louis
Games played2020
Wins413
Draws56
Losses111
Goals scored2545
Goals conceded3322
Scored per game1.32.3
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record4W 3D 3L8W 3D 0L
Away record0W 2D 8L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%-393
Over 2.5 goals56%-128
Over 3.5 goals34%+196
Both teams to score58%-138
Real Salt Lake or Draw50%-101
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw75%-294
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.516%+527
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.533%+203
Real Salt Lake clean sheet17%+471
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet30%+228

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
1-29.6%
0-18.6%
0-28.1%
2-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -355.

What is the score prediction for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Real Salt Lake to score 1.2 goals and St. Louis CITY SC 1.7.

Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Real Salt Lake last 20 games and 14 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20.

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

St. Louis CITY SC have 13 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Real Salt Lake and St. Louis CITY SC last met?

It ended St. Louis CITY SC 1, Real Salt Lake 1. In the last 2 meetings Real Salt Lake won 0 and St. Louis CITY SC won 0.

What is the best bet for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Over 1.5 goals at -355, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Salt Lake against St. Louis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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