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Predictions › Spain › Real Sociedad II vs Almería
LaLiga 2Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 Spain time

Real Sociedad II vs Almería prediction

Instalaciones de Zubieta

Real Sociedad IIHome
0.96 : 1.38
expected goals
AlmeríaAway
25%Real Sociedad II
29%Draw
46%Almería
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Almería is Almería to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Almería to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Real Sociedad II 1.0, Almería 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Sociedad II 25%, the draw 29% and Almería 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Sociedad II took 4 points from their last 5 games and Almería took 15 from 5. Almería come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Sociedad II won 0 of their last 10 games at home. Almería won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Sociedad II score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Almería score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Real Sociedad II games and 11 of Almería games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Real Sociedad II won 0 and Almería won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Almería 5, Real Sociedad II 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Real Sociedad IIrecent form-3%
  • Almeríarecent form+7%
Real Sociedad II form L L L W DAlmería form W W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Sociedad II vs Almería: Almería are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Sociedad II host Almería in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Instalaciones de Zubieta. Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Almería is Almería to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Real Sociedad II form

Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Almería form

Almería have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Real Sociedad II won 0, Almería won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Almería 5, Real Sociedad II 1.

Our call

We expect Real Sociedad II to score about 1.0 goals and Almería about 1.4. That points to Almería to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Real Sociedad IIAlmería
Games played2020
Wins311
Draws63
Losses116
Goals scored1933
Goals conceded3326
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record0W 4D 6L8W 0D 2L
Away record3W 2D 5L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets10%35%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.41
Over 3.5 goals21%4.78
Both teams to score47%2.13
Real Sociedad II or Draw54%1.85
Almería or Draw75%1.34
Real Sociedad II to win and Over 2.512%8.02
Almería to win and Over 2.524%4.14
Real Sociedad II clean sheet25%3.98
Almería clean sheet38%2.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-112.5%
0-010.4%
0-29.2%
1-28.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Almería?

Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Almería is Almería to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Almería?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Real Sociedad II to score 1.0 goals and Almería 1.4.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad II vs Almería?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Real Sociedad II last 20 games and 11 of Almería last 20.

How are Real Sociedad II playing?

Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Almería playing?

Almería have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Real Sociedad II and Almería last met?

It ended Almería 5, Real Sociedad II 1. In the last 1 meeting Real Sociedad II won 0 and Almería won 1.

What is the best bet for Real Sociedad II vs Almería?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Real Sociedad II against Almería. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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