Predictions › Spain › Real Sociedad II vs Granada

LaLiga 2Sun 4 Oct, 12:00 Spain time

Real Sociedad II vs Granada prediction

Instalaciones de Zubieta

Real Sociedad IIHome

1.28 : 1.21

expected goals

GranadaAway

37%Real Sociedad II

29%Draw

34%Granada

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Granada is Real Sociedad II to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Real Sociedad II to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Real Sociedad II 1.3, Granada 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Real Sociedad II 37%, the draw 29% and Granada 34%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Sociedad II the favourite at 2.45.
2
Recent form
Real Sociedad II took 5 points from their last 5 games and Granada took 4 from 5. Real Sociedad II come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Real Sociedad II won 0 of their last 9 games at home. Granada won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Real Sociedad II score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Granada score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Real Sociedad II games and 10 of Granada games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad II won 0 and Granada won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Sociedad II 0, Granada 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Real Sociedad IIrecent form-1%
Granadarecent form-3%
Real Sociedad IIrest between games-5%
Granadarest between games-5%

Real Sociedad II form L L W D DGranada form L L D L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Sociedad II vs Granada: Real Sociedad II shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Sociedad II host Granada in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 4 Oct, 12:00 at Instalaciones de Zubieta. Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Granada is Real Sociedad II to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Real Sociedad II form

Real Sociedad II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Granada form

Granada have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Sociedad II won 0, Granada won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Sociedad II 0, Granada 2.

Our call

We expect Real Sociedad II to score about 1.3 goals and Granada about 1.2. That points to Real Sociedad II to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Real Sociedad II	Granada
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	6
Draws	6	3
Losses	10	11
Goals scored	19	26
Goals conceded	30	34
Scored per game	0.9	1.3
Conceded per game	1.5	1.7
Home record	0W 4D 5L	3W 2D 4L
Away record	4W 2D 5L	3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	15%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Real Sociedad II to win	35%	2.87	2.45	-14.7%
A Draw	27%	3.64	3.20	-12.1%
Granada to win	32%	3.11	2.75	-11.6%
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.25	1.87	-16.8%
Under 2.5 goals	49%	2.03	1.77	-12.9%
Real Sociedad II -0.5	36%	2.78	2.30	-17.3%
Granada +0.5	59%	1.69	1.49	-12.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	72%	1.39
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.21
Over 3.5 goals	24%	4.17
Both teams to score	51%	1.95
Real Sociedad II or Draw	66%	1.52
Granada or Draw	63%	1.60
Real Sociedad II to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.83
Granada to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.34
Real Sociedad II clean sheet	30%	3.35
Granada clean sheet	28%	3.59

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%

1-09.8%

0-19.3%

0-09.1%

2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Granada?

Our prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Granada is Real Sociedad II to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Granada?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Real Sociedad II to score 1.3 goals and Granada 1.2.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad II vs Granada?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Real Sociedad II last 20 games and 11 of Granada last 20.

How are Real Sociedad II playing?

How are Granada playing?

What happened when Real Sociedad II and Granada last met?

It ended Real Sociedad II 0, Granada 2. In the last 2 meetings Real Sociedad II won 0 and Granada won 2.

What is the best bet for Real Sociedad II vs Granada?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Real Sociedad II against Granada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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